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It’s ‘the hottest year on record’, as long as you don’t take its temperature December 18, 2010

Posted by honestclimate in Discussions.
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It’s ‘the hottest year on record’, as long as you don’t take its temperature

Christopher Booker

By Christopher Booker
The Telegraph, 18 December 2010

Much of the data cited to support warmist claims is pure conjecture, says Christopher Booker

We have lately heard much of the claim that 2010 will turn out to have been “the hottest year on record”. No one has done more to promote this belief than Dr James Hansen, head of Nasa’s Goddard Institute for Space Studies (GISS), responsible for one of the four main official global temperature records.

As reported by the US blogs Real Science and Watts Up With That, in a post headed “GISS temperatures out of line with the rest of the world”, the GISS record has in recent months been diverging wildly from the others. While three have shown global temperatures dropping sharply, by as much as 0.3C, the GISS figures (based, despite the link to Nasa, on surface temperatures) have shot up by 0.2C.

In a second post (“Hansen’s ‘Hottest Year Ever’ is primarily based on fabricated data”), Real Science demonstrates that the parts of the world which GISS shows to be heating up the most are so short of weather stations that only 25 per cent of the figures are based on actual temperature readings. The rest are simply conjectured by GISS. This is not the first time Dr Hansen’s temperature record has come under expert fire. Three years ago, GISS was forced to revise many of its figures when it was shown that wholesale “adjustments” had been made, revising older temperatures downwards and post-2000 figures upwards.

Read the rest here

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Beware global warming propaganda of the future: Fast forward to the year 2028 December 17, 2008

Posted by honestclimate in humour.
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Beware global warming propaganda of the future:  Fast forward to the year 2028

By the blogowner, honestclimate, December 17, 2008

GISS, NOAA, GHCN and the odd Russian temperature anomaly – “It’s all pipes!” November 16, 2008

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GISS, NOAA, GHCN and the odd Russian temperature anomaly – “It’s all pipes!”

From Watts Up With That?, Nove,ber 16, 2008

As most readers know by now, the problematic GISTEMP global temperature anomaly plot for October is heavily weighted by temperatures from weather stations in Russia.

gistemp_after_october_correction

GISTEMP 11-12-08 – Click for larger image

Like in the USA, weather stations tend to be distributed according to population density, with the more populated western portion of Russia having more weather stations than the less populated eastern areas such as Siberia. To illustrate this, here is a plot of Russian Weather Station locations from the University of Melbourne:

russian_met_stations
Click picture for larger image, source image is here

Interestingly, the greatest magnitude of the GISTEMP anomaly plot for October is in these mostly unpopulated areas where the weather station density is the lowest. While I was pondering this curiosity, one of the WUWT readers, Corky Boyd, did a little research and passed this along in email:

…Posters at Watts Up have commented on the ongoing consistently high anomalous temperatures from Russia. I have noticed this too.  In light of the erroneously posted data for October, I took a look at the monthly NCDC climate reports back to January 2007.  By my eyeball estimate the results from Russia are almost all on the high side. .  Some I classified as very highs are massively high.  Of the 21 months reported, only 2 appeared to be below average.

Category 2007 2008 (9 months)
Very high                     6                        4
High                            3                        1
Average                      2                        3
Low                            0                        1
Very Low                    1                        0

Is there a way to validate or invalidate GISS data  by comparing it to RISS?   Does it strike you as odd that the verifiably erroneous data has shown up in the same area that was suspect in the first place?  Could there be a pattern?

Corky also sent along a series of images depicting global near surface and ocean temperature anomalies from NOAA. Here is the most recent one from September 2008:

Read the rest of the article, click below link
http://wattsupwiththat.com/2008/11/15/giss-noaa-ghcn-and-the-odd-russian-temperature-anomaly-its-all-pipes

Questions on the evolution of the GISS temperature product November 15, 2008

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Questions on the evolution of the GISS temperature product

From Watts Up With That, November 14, 2008


Blink comparator of GISS USA temperature anomaly – h/t to Zapruder

The last time I checked, the earth does not retroactively change it’s near surface temperature.

True, all data sets go through some corrections, such as the recent change RSS made to improve the quality of the satellite record which consists of a number of satellite spliced together. However, in the case of the near surface temperature record, we have many long period stations than span the majority of the time period shown above, and they have already been adjusted for TOBS, SHAP, FILNET etc by NOAA prior to being distributed for use by organizations like GISS. These adjustments add mostly a positive bias.

In the recent data replication fiasco, GISS blames NOAA for providing flawed data rather than their failure to catch the repeated data from September to October. In that case they are correct that the issue arose with NOAA, but in business when you are the supplier of a product, most savvy businessmen take a “the buck stops here” approach when it comes to correcting a product flaw, rather than blaming the supplier. GISS provides a product for public consumption worldwide, so it seems to me that they should pony up to taking responsibility for errors that appear in their own product.

In the case above, what could be the explanation for the product changing?

http://wattsupwiththat.com/2008/11/14/the-evolution-of-the-giss-temperature-product

Did Napoleon Use Hansen’s Temperature Data? November 13, 2008

Posted by honestclimate in Global Cooling, Temperature.
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Did Napoleon Use Hansen’s Temperature Data?

From ClimateAudit

It’s colder in Russia in October than in September, as Napoleon found out to his cost in 1812.

Sitting in the ashes of a ruined city without having received the Russian capitulation, and facing a Russian maneuver forcing him out of Moscow, Napoleon started his long retreat by the middle of October.

Flash forward almost 200 years later. NASA has just reported record warmth in October throughout Russia, with many sites experiencing similar temperatures in October as in September – perhaps the sort of situation that Napoleon had hoped for (not similar as anomalies, but similar in actual temperatures in deg C.)

Actually, many stations didn’t just experience similar absolute monthly temperatures. Many stations had exactly the same monthly temperatures in October as in September. Here are the last three years for the Russian station, Olenek, showing NASA GISS monthly temperatures (in deg C) bolding Sept and Oct 2008. October 2007 had an average temperature of -9 deg C, as compared to 3.1 deg C in Sept 2007. October 2008 had the identical temperature as September 2008.

YEAR JAN FEB MAR APR MAY JUN JUL AUG SEP OCT NOV DEC
2006 -34.0 -29.9 -23.5 -18.1 1.6 10.6 16.9 11.5 4.4 -14.6 -27.7 -29.1
2007 -27.9 -41.5 -21.6 -4.0 0.1 12.4 13.5 11.3 3.1 -9.0 -24.8 999.9
2008 -30.0 -29.4 -19.6 -13.4 1.3 12.0 13.1 12.1 3.1 3.1 999.9 999.9

This exact match of October 2008 to September 2008 was repeated at many other Russian stations. A CA reader notified me of this phenomenon earlier today and I’ve confirmed for myself that the information is accurate. Based on what he described as a “Cursory” look, he sent me the following list currently “updated” stations that exactly replicate the Sept data: Almaty, Omsk, Salehard, Semipalatinsk, Turuhansk, Tobol’sk, Verhojansk, Viljujsk, Vilnius, Vologda. I can add Hatanga, Suntora, GMO ImEKF. Not all stations were affected – Dzerszan, Ostrov Kotal, Jakutsk, Cokurdah appear to have correct results.

Let’s consider the opposite situation. Suppose that March temperatures had been inadvertently carried forward into April, yielding a massive cold anomaly in Russia. One feels that Hansen would have been all over the opposite error like a dog on a bone – he would have been his own bulldog.

In any event, we here at Climate Audit are always eager to assist NASA. On earlier occasions, we helped identify the lost city of Wellington, New Zealand, where NASA has been unable to locate climate records for nearly 30 years.

Today, we are able to provide NASA with up-to-date weather reports confirming that October in Russia is colder than September. Verhojansk temperatures are conveniently online here and temperatures are currently a nippy -18 deg C.

You’re welcome, Jim.

http://www.climateaudit.org/?p=4318

Deja Vu All Over Again: Blogger Again Finds Error in NASA Climate Data November 13, 2008

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Deja Vu All Over Again: Blogger Again Finds Error in NASA Climate Data

From ICECAP, November 12, 2008

By Michael Asher, Daily Tech

GISS’s October Data. The large reddish-brown area in Russia is actually September readings.  Amateur team finds NASA error similar to one they discovered a year ago.NASA’S Goddard Institute for Space Studies (GISS) is one of the world’s primary sources for climate data. GISS issues regular updates on world temperatures based on their analysis of temperature readings from thousands of monitoring stations over the globe. GISS� most recent data release originally reported last October as being extraordinarily warm– a full 0.78C above normal. This would have made it the warmest October on record; a huge increase over the previous month’s data.

image

Those results set off alarm bells with Steve McIntyre and his gang of Baker Street irregulars at Climateaudit.org. They noted that NASA’s data didn’t agree at all with the satellite temperature record, which showed October to be very mild, continuing the same trend of slight cooling that has persisted since 1998. So they dug a little deeper. McKintyre, the same man who found errors last year in GISS’s US temperature record, quickly noted that most of the temperature increase was coming from Russia. A chart of world temperatures showed that in October, most of Russia, the largest nation on Earth, was not only registering hot, but literally off the scale.

Yet anecdotal reports were suggesting that October was actually slightly colder than normal. Could there be another error in GISS’s data? An alert reader on McKintyre’s blog revealed that there was a very large problem. Looking at the actual readings from individual stations in Russia showed a curious anomaly. The locations had all been assigned the exact temperatures from a month earlier– the much warmer month of September. Russia cools very rapidly in the fall months, so recycling the data from the earlier month had led to a massive temperature increase. A few locations in Ireland were also found to be using September data. Steve McKintyre informed GISS of the error by email.

According to McKintyre, there was no response, but within “about an hour”, GISS pulled down the erroneous data, citing a “mishap” and pointing the finger of blame upstream to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Adminstration (NOAA). NOAA’s Deputy Director of Communications, Scott Smullens, tells DailyTech that NOAA is responsible only for temperature readings in the US, not those in other nations.The error not only affected October data, but due to the complex algorithm GISS uses to convert actual temperature readings into their output results, altered the previously published values for several other months as well. The values for August 2008, for instance, changed by 0.11C and the global anomaly as far back as 2005 increased by a hundredth of a degree.

GISS is run by Dr. James Hansen, a strident global warming advocate who has accused oil companies of “crimes against humanity”.  Hansen recently made headlines when he travelled to London to testify on behalf of a group of environmentalists who had damaged a coal plant in protest against global warming. Hansen also serves as science advisor to Al Gore. Dr. Hansen could not be reached for comment.
See Michaels blog here.

Record hot October in James Hansen’s oven November 11, 2008

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Record hot October in James Hansen’s oven

honestclimate

honestclimate

By the blogowner, honestclimate, November 11, 2008

Yes ladies and gentlemen, just when you think it can’t get any worse, James Hansen’s GISS reports October 2008 as the hottest October month on record. That’s right, record cold and snow around the globe has caused a record hot October month according to GISS.

Now apparently GISS was using some September temperatures in the October data and they were happy to release the data to the public. Now come on, you don’t need a degree in climatology to know it can’t possibly be the hottest October recorded if there’s been record cold around the globe!

But then again what do you expect from GISS data when they claimed 2007 was the hottest on record. And what do you expect when the head of GISS, James Hansen willingly flies around the world to defend vandalism of coal power plants!

I do expect NASA to downplay the whole issue. I suspect that they will say something along the lines of, it was just a minor oversight but the trend is still up and therefore the GISS data isn’t broken, just like the hockey stick isn’t broken…

Why are these “oversights” always in their favour?

Read more on the fraudulent GISS data on the websites below:
http://wattsupwiththat.com/2008/11/10/giss-releases-october-2008-data

http://australianclimatemadness.blogspot.com/2008/11/last-word-on-giss.html

http://www.climate-skeptic.com/2008/11/this-is-getting-absurd.html

Temperature data released for September 2008 October 8, 2008

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Temperature data released for September 2008

honestclimate

honestclimate

By the blogowner, honestclimate, October 8, 2008

The following 3 temperature anomalies have been released for September month end, still waiting for HadCrut3 data.

All 3 show mostly an uptick in the September data.

Click below links for the raw data:

NASA GISS monthly temperature anomalies

UAH lower troposphere monthly temperature anomalies

Remote Systems Sensing Data monthly temperature anomalies

Update 9 Oct 2008

See below related websites for graphs with the September data

http://wattsupwiththat.com/2008/10/08/giss-releases-september-2008-data

http://wattsupwiththat.com/2008/10/08/uah-global-temperature-anomaly-jumps-in-august