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The scientists used sophisticated American computer climate models…”we are just not going to have that sort of good rain again” March 3, 2012

Posted by honestclimate in Climate Models.
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The below extract is from the The Age on August 30, 2009, regarding a three-year, $7 million collaboration between the Australian Bureau of Meteorology and CSIRO

It’s not drought, it’s climate change, say scientists

The Age
August 30, 2009

…But to see what role greenhouse gases played in the recent intensification, the scientists used sophisticated American computer climate models.

When they ran simulations with only the ”natural” influences on temperature, such as changing levels of solar activity, they found there was no intensification of the subtropical ridge and no decline in rainfall.

But when they added human influences, such as greenhouse gases, aerosols and ozone depletion, the models mimicked what has occurred in south-east Australia – the high pressure systems strengthened, causing a significant drop in rainfall.

”It’s reasonable to say that a lot of the current drought of the last 12 to 13 years is due to ongoing global warming,” said the bureau’s Bertrand Timbal.

”In the minds of a lot of people, the rainfall we had in the 1950s, 1960s and 1970s was a benchmark. A lot of our [water and agriculture] planning was done during that time. But we are just not going to have that sort of good rain again as long as the system is warming up.”…

Read full article here

Just a little over a year later (December 2010), the devastating Queensland floods hit and more recently (March 2012), parts of Victoria, the Northern Territory and almost three quarters of NSW are affected by floods.

Now that’s what you call a wash-out of a prediction and yet they say they can predict the climate in 100 years time!

Above, Brisbane’s Wivenhoe dam floodgate release in 2010.

Above, in 2007, Tim Flannery, who is currently serving as Australia’s taxpayer funded Climate Commissioner said, “so even the rain that falls isn’t actually going to fill our dams and river systems …”

Above, Sydney’s Warragamba Dam on the verge of spilling as “Rain records stretching back to 1886 are set to be broken”

Above, residents in northern New South Wales and Queensland’s southern inland are preparing for record floods as thousands are forced to evacuate their homes.

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CSIRO bid to gag emissions trading scheme policy attack November 2, 2009

Posted by honestclimate in Discussions.
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CSIRO bid to gag emissions trading scheme policy attack

By Nicola Berkovic
The Australian, November 2, 2009

THE nation’s peak science agency has tried to gag the publication of a paper by one of its senior environmental economists attacking the Rudd government’s climate change policies.

The paper, by the CSIRO’s Clive Spash, argues the Carbon Pollution Reduction Scheme is an ineffective way to cut emissions, and instead direct legislation or a tax on carbon is needed.

The paper was accepted for publication by the journal New Political Economy after being internationally peer-reviewed.

But Dr Spash told the Australia New Zealand Society for Ecological Economics conference that the CSIRO had since June tried to block its publication.

Read the rest here

November snows all over the CSIRO November 23, 2008

Posted by honestclimate in Global Cooling.
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November snows all over the CSIRO

From the Andrew Bolt Blog, November 23, 2008

The CSIRO warns there’ll be little winter snow by 2018:

A 2003 CSIRO report, part-funded by the ski industry, found that the resorts could lose a quarter of their snow in 15 years, and half by 2050. The worst case was a 96 per cent loss of snow by mid-century.

Five years later, we’ve had not just great snow seasons in winter, but the snow is now falling in November as well:

At Mt Hotham, the coldest place in Victoria at -2.7C, there was a surprise snowfall. Falls Creek also experienced a November fall, which residents said was the first in five years.

Which only suggests the researchers are right – the regional climate models the CSIRO peddles are junk, as the National Technical University of Athens, for instance, concluded:

The results show that models perform poorly, even at a climatic (30-year) scale. Thus local model projections cannot be credible…


Dr Roy Spencer
wouldn’t be surprised at all.

http://blogs.news.com.au/heraldsun/andrewbolt/index.php/heraldsun/comments/november_snows_all_over_the_csiro