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The Tree Ring Circus July 28, 2010

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The Tree Ring Circus

By John Dawson
Quadrant Online, July 28, 2010

The Hockey Stick Illusion is the shocking story of a graph called the Hockey Stick. It is also a textbook of tree ring analysis, a code-breaking adventure, an intriguing detective story, an exposé of a scientific and political travesty, and the tale of a herculean struggle between a self-funded sceptic and a publicly funded hydra, all presented in the measured style of an analytical treatise. The hero of the story is Steve McIntyre, honourably assisted by fellow sceptics, especially by Ross McKitrick. The villain is Michael Mann, dishonourably assisted by global warming alarmists, especially by his “Hockey Team”. The bare bones of the Hockey Stick story are as follows.

In its First Assessment Report published in 1990, the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) presented the conventional view of climate history: that around a thousand years ago there was a Medieval Warm Period, followed by a Little Ice Age, followed by the Current Warm Period that has not yet reached the temperatures experienced during the Medieval Warm Period. In 1995 the IPCC’s Second Assessment Report presented that view again but introduced some doubt about the Medieval Warm Period, suggesting that further investigation was required. It had dawned on global warming crusaders that the Medieval Warm Period was a huge problem for the Anthropogenic Global Warming (AGW) hypothesis and that fame and fortune awaited a scientist who could get rid of it.

The scientist who took the prize was a brash and ambitious American paleoclimatologist, Dr Michael Mann. With two of his more senior colleagues, Mann set about investigating the earth’s temperature over the last millennium by scouring the world’s research projects that had detected past temperatures by way of temperature “proxies” such as tree rings. The amount of data they collated and the sophistication of their statistical analysis, claimed Mann, ensured that their conclusions would be more “robust” than those of previous studies. Their first peer-reviewed paper (MBH98) was published in the prestigious journal Nature in 1998 and their second (MBH99) was published in Geophysical Research Letters (GRL) in 1999. The graphed summation of these papers wiped the Medieval Warm Period and the Little Ice Age out of the picture and replaced them with a flat-lined handle declining slightly from 1000 to 1900 then bending upwards into a twentieth-century blade of rapidly rising temperatures.

This “Hockey Stick” graph was immediately seized by AGW crusaders. Typical of the reaction was that of Gerry North of Texas A&M University who enthused: “The planet had been cooling slowly until 120 years ago, when, bam!, it jumps up … We’ve been breaking our backs on [greenhouse] detection, but I found the 1000-year records more convincing than any of our detection studies.” Almost overnight the Hockey Stick became the new gold standard of paleoclimatology.

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The price of carbon July 23, 2010

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The price of carbon

by Ray Evans
Quadrant Online, July 23, 2010

In recent weeks we have been subjected to the full vigour of the Environmentalist Movement’s demand for a “carbon price” This is their response to the collapse of their ambitions for a world-wide decarbonisation regime which was to have been born at Copenhagen last December, but which was aborted unceremoniously by the Chinese, the Indians, the Brazilians and their third world supporters.

After the failure of the Bolshevik Revolution of 1917 to ignite similar, successful revolutions in post-war Europe, the Soviet regime abandoned hopes for at least a European wide communist international and opted instead for “Socialism in One Country”. Similarly our contemporary revolutionaries have opted for “salvation in one country”, and their current slogan is “we must have a price for carbon”.

PM Julia Gillard, on 13 July, commenting on this demand said:

I understand there are millions of Australians disappointed that we have not yet been able to put a price on carbon, I am disappointed by that too.

In all of these environmentalist campaigns we must look for the elements of a Baptist-bootlegger coalition which is essential if a campaign of this kind is to “move forward” . (Baptists-bootlegger coalitions were a feature of the Prohibition era in the US. The Baptists provided moral high ground for prohibition, and the bootleggers made huge profits from which they provided slush funds to politicians.)

With the CPRS bill the bootlegger role was filled primarily by the financial sector, where the prospect of making large sums of money by trading what were in effect tax receipts, called “emissions permits”, excited banks, insurance companies and other financial sector players.

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One More Look at the Coming Cooling July 17, 2010

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One More Look at the Coming Cooling, by Joe Bastardi

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The Guardian ClimateGate “Debate” 14 July 2010 by Piers Corbyn July 15, 2010

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The Guardian ClimateGate “Debate” 14 July 2010 by Piers Corbyn

Via Climate Realists
July 15, 2010

Continuing cover-up and Dodging of the Science

The Guardian ClimateGate ‘Debate’ held at the RIBA London on 14 July*, organized by the Guardian and chaired by George Monbiot in full biased form was significant not for its predicted gross imbalance in debate but more for evident disquiet over the matter from card-carrying Guardian readers** and the continuing utter scientific bankruptcy of the Global Warmers.

ClimateGate “Debate” (Link now ended)

Monbiot started with his standard pejorative references to Climate Change Deniers (as in Holocaust Deniers) and then presentations proceeded with ‘Warmers’ including Monbiot outnumbering by 4 to 2 the more objective (Realist) speakers who had to endure somewhat negative introductions lest some of the audience pay them too much attention.

There were the expected wishy-washy meanderings and praise of whitewash by George Monbiot, Prof Trevor Davies pro-vice chancellor of the University of East Anglia, Prof Bob Watson former head of IPCC, and Fred Pearce environment apologist, which seemed to amount to insistence that fraud isn’t fraud if you only select rather than change data!

One can only wonder if the Guardian take the same view of tax fraud when a banker or politician only declares 25% of his income stream for tax purposes?! [“With regret we note their somewhat non-transparent procedures”, they would doubtless rage.]

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When seemingly intelligent people say STUPID things July 12, 2010

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When seemingly intelligent people say STUPID things

by honestclimate, July 12, 2010

Some of you may remember how at the beginning of the year South Africa applied for a loan from the World Bank to build a coal fired power station. At the time I blogged about it here. Remember that South Africa is fast running out of electricity and coal is the cheapest, most effective form of electricity in Africa.

I was trying to use this example on a work colleague of mine, who is a warmist, to try and get the point across of how the decisions made by people in the West adversely affects the poor. I explained to my colleague how the White house wanted to deny South Africa of a loan to build a coal power plant because of …….global warming.
That’s right bureaucrats from the White house, sitting in their fossil fuelled air conditioned offices, driving around in their fossil fuelled cars, flying around in their fossil fuelled jets wanted to deny South Africa a loan to build a coal fired plant!

I was sure that my colleague would be able to see the sheer madness of it all, but instead my colleague turned to me and said that Africa shouldn’t get funding for a coal plant and that instead the West should fund solar power for Africa.

Now this colleague of mine is no dummy, in fact this colleague of mine has a Science degree. This is a person with a science degree saying Africa should be powered by solar. Has the world gone totally INSANE?

Do these people really think that they will save the polar bears by getting the West to fund solar panels made in China by fossil fuelled factories and exported to South Africa on fossil fuelled ships so that they can put $10,000 solar panels on mud huts??? Are you SERIOUS???

Another pet peeve of mine is when people on the warming side tell me not to listen to the skeptics as they “have no peer reviewed papers and they have vested financial interests” and then in the same breath they tell me about something they learned at an Al Gore presentation.
Are you serious??? Al Gore, who barely passed science at school. Al Gore who has a carbon offset business. Al Gore who is set to become the first carbon billionaire. Al Gore who jets around in his private plane and has a carbon footprint the size of the African continent.  When a stupid person says stupid things, you can understand it, but when seemingly intelligent people say stupid things, you have to wonder, has the world gone totally INSANE???

Thanks for listening to my rant, feel free to add your own experiences, in the comments section below, of people saying stupid things…

Where should we put the $10,000 solar panel?

Anesthetics Could Add to Global Warming July 10, 2010

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Anesthetics Could Add to Global Warming

1 July 2010

Inhaled anesthetics widely used for surgery—particularly the anesthetic desflurane—make a measurable contribution to global warming, according to a study in the July issue of Anesthesia & Analgesia, official journal of the International Anesthesia Research Society (IARS).

Read it here

"No anesthetic for you sir, we need to save the polar bears from drowning!"

Friday Fun: Global Warming Hoax Weekly Round-Up, July 8 2010 July 9, 2010

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Global Warming Hoax Weekly Round-Up, July 8 2010

The Daily Bayonet
9 July 2010

Canada’s primary hippie discovers that he’s a loser, the President might be going to Maine and alarmists have discovered the perfect headline.

All this, a Bond girl and snark galore in your weekly round-up.

Part One: Al Gore & Friends

For all the news you can stomach about Al Gore and the masseuse, take a peek at the Chakraquiddick Round-up.  There will be no further reference to the Goreacle in any state of undress here this week, so relax.  The only reference to the entire sordid episode is whether or not Steve Jobs should suspend Gore from the Apple board for potentially contravening  the firm’s sexual harassment rules.

Gore popped his head over the parapets of one or other of his many mansions to fire off a blog post about the Times’ retraction of their Amazongate story.  Of course, the retraction itself is under fire as being unnecessary, for all of that and more, North’s your man.

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Dutch agency admits mistakes July 6, 2010

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Dutch agency admits mistakes

6 July 2010

The Hague – A leading Dutch environmental agency, taking the blame for one of the glaring errors that undermined the credibility of a seminal UN report on climate change, said it has discovered more small mistakes and urged the panel to be more careful.

But the review released on Monday by the Netherlands Environmental Assessment Agency claimed that none of the errors affected the fundamental conclusion by UN panel of scientists: that global warming caused by humans already is happening and is threatening the lives and well-being of millions of people.

Mistakes discovered in the 3 000-page report by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change last year fed into an atmosphere of skepticism over the reliability of climate scientists who have been warning for many years that human-induced emissions of greenhouse gases could have catastrophic consequences, including rising sea levels, drought and the extinction of nearly one-third of the Earth’s species.

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