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Why scientists get it wrong June 1, 2010

Posted by honestclimate in Discussions.
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Why scientists get it wrong

by David Archibald
Quadrant Online,  June 1, 2010

Edited extract: “Why did so many scientists get it wrong?” from David Archibald’s book – The Past and Future of Climate:

Click to order book

If the data and forecasts in this book are correct, then the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC), the National Academy of Sciences in the United States, the Royal Society in the United Kingdom, the Bureau of Meteorology and the CSIRO in Australia are all wrong. How can this be? Firstly, there aren’t that many scientists involved in the IPCC deliberations. The inner core is possibly twenty souls. Secondly, they were untroubled by the necessity to concoct fraudulent data to get their desired results. The only unknown question regarding the IPCC scientists is “Did they actually believe in the global warming that they were promoting?”

It turns out that they did, and possibly still do. That is shown by the Climategate emails released on 20th November, 2009. The Climategate emails are a selection of emails amongst members of the inner core plus minor characters. The fact that the IPCC scientists believed in the global warming they were promoting means that their morality at that level was better than expected, but it also means that they are a lot more stupid than expected. Nevertheless, their behaviour in promoting the notion of global warming using fraudulent statistics is reprehensible and hopefully they will be duly punished in this world or the next.

Read the rest here



1. Melissa - June 1, 2010

Gut instinct and groupthink peer review got us to where we are today. Back in the 80’s and 90’s every man and his dog would comment that things were changing. Back in their day they reminisced summers a certain way and flowers and trees blossomed earlier, later etc etc.

Another words climate is an emotive issue for most people that demand a near constant year on year for climate to be “normal”. Couple that with the general modernization in the latter part of the twenty century and it all led to the collective gut instinct that climate was changing and theat human modernization was causing it, instinctive groupthink. Unfortunately, a group within the scientific community adapted the same priniciples as us ordinary lay people and that groupthink took hold like Japanese knotweed.

Science needs to fly by instrument, not instinct. Instinctive science can sometimes bring you to a correct scientific conclusion, more often than not it has created a lot of false hope and skewed science.

2. Oliver K. Manuel - June 1, 2010

The sad fact is that our tax funds paid scientists to misrepresent and hide experimental data.

Solar scientists have used this technique for many years to promote the obsolete Standard Solar Model of the Sun.

NAS President Ralph Cicerone was confronted by eight (8) empirical facts in his latest warning about global warming on Physics World:

1. The Sun controls Earth’s climate.
2. The Sun is a plasma diffuser that sorts atoms by mass.
3. The Sun is mostly Fe, O, Ni, Si, S, Mg and Ca beneath a veneer of lightweight H and He.
4. [These same elements are the main constituents of the Earth and ordinary meteorites.]
5. The Sun is the remains of the supernova that exploded 5 Gyr ago to make the solar system.
6. The Sun is heated by neutron repulsion (60%), neutron decay (5%), and fusion of the decay product (35%). H that escapes the fusion process is called SW Hydrogen
7. Solar neutrinos do not oscillate at the whim of politicians who control grant funds, but
8. The Climategate scandal revealed this trait in the modern consensus science community.

With kind regards,
Oliver K. Manuel

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