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Met Office seasonal forecasts to be scrapped March 6, 2010

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Met Office seasonal forecasts to be scrapped

BBC News, Friday, 5 March 2010

The Met Office is to stop publishing seasonal forecasts, after it came in for criticism for failing to predict extreme weather.

It was berated for not foreseeing that the UK would suffer this cold winter or the last three wet summers in its seasonal forecasts.

The forecasts, four times a year, will be replaced by monthly predictions.

The Met Office said it decided to change its forecasting approach after carrying out customer research.

Explaining its decision, the Met Office released a statement which said: “By their nature, forecasts become less accurate the further out we look.

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Climategate has killed cap-and-trade March 5, 2010

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Climategate has killed cap-and-trade

By Hoppy Kercheval
Charleston Daily Mail, March 5, 2010

THE Washington power play to pass cap-and-trade legislation is deflating like a punctured balloon, but all the air is not out of it yet.

According to Reuters, Sen. Lindsey Graham, R-S.C., a climate legislation supporter, told environmental leaders in a private meeting last week that “cap-and-trade is dead.” Graham has been working with John Kerry, D-Mass., and Joe Lieberman, I-Conn., for months to get a cap-and-trade bill through the Senate.

The House of Representatives approved a climate bill last June.

But in recent months, climate fears have dissipated. Americans are much more worried about the economy – and less convinced that man’s activities are causing a global meltdown.

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Lysenkoism and James Hansen by Professor Bob Carter March 3, 2010

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Lysenkoism and James Hansen

By Professor Bob Carter
Quadrant Online, March 3, 2010

Is Hansenism more dangerous than Lysenkoism?

On June 23, 1988, a young and previously unknown NASA computer modeller, James Hansen, appeared before a United States Congressional hearing on climate change. On that occasion, Dr. Hansen used a graph to convince his listeners that late 20th century warming was taking place at an accelerated rate, which, it being a scorching summer’s day in Washington, a glance out of the window appeared to confirm.

He wrote later in justification, in the Washington Post (February 11, 1989), that “the evidence for an increasing greenhouse effect is now sufficiently strong that it would have been irresponsible if I had not attempted to alert political leaders”.

Hansen’s testimony was taken up as a lead news story, and within days the great majority of the American public believed that a climate apocalypse was at hand, and the global warming hare was off and running. Thereby, Dr. Hansen became transformed into the climate media star who is shortly going to wow the ingenues in the Adelaide Festival audience.

Fifteen years later, in the Scientific American in March, 2004, Hansen came to write that “Emphasis on extreme scenarios may have been appropriate at one time, when the public and decision-makers were relatively unaware of the global warming issue. Now, however, the need is for demonstrably objective climate forcing scenarios consistent with what is realistic”.

This conversion to honesty came too late, however, for in the intervening years thousands of other climate scientists had meanwhile climbed onto the Hansenist funding gravy-train. Currently, global warming alarmism is fuelled by an estimated worldwide expenditure on related research and greenhouse bureaucracy of more than US$10 billion annually.

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“Obviously the models they use are not worth a cup full of warm spit” March 2, 2010

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Huge BoM rain and temperature prediction failures

by Warwick Hughes
Warwick Hughes blog, March 1, 2010

This Bureau of Meteorology (BoM) prediction for summer made on 24 November 2009 has turned out to be so exactly wrong in several aspects. You can see in the BoM Outlook archive It is not only the 24 November prediction that is so wrong – check out their maps of predicted rain percentages published on 21 December, 19 January and there is no learning going on. Check actual rain here, choose 3 months to see summer rain.
BoM failure

The temperature Outlook for summer was just as hopeless but I have not got the time to put all these maps up – you can check against maps you can make here – make maps for 3 months for max and min anomaly, they compare with the BoM max and min temperature prediction maps for summer.
I am at a loss to understand how a well funded org of professionals can repeatedly get these Outlooks so wrong.
Obviously the models they use are not worth a cup full of warm spit.
Australia pays for better and deserves better.

Fore more by Warwick Hughes, click here

The IPCC’s carcass by Will Alexander, S. African UN Scientist March 1, 2010

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The IPCC’s carcass by Will Alexander, S. African UN Scientist


February 26th 2010

Let me start by quoting from my last two emails

4 February 2010 Email 04/10


‘We are now witnessing the disintegration of the IPCC’. That is what I wrote in sixteen days ago.

The bombardment continues with increased ferocity. The IPCC cannot possibly survive.

Read the attached memo.

Anthropogenic global warming (AGW) was the blood that circulated through the veins of climate change science and kept it alive. In the short space of four months it has been shown that the globe ceased warming in 1995. Climate change science is dead.

The recent news was a great relief to those of us who have spent many hours of our lives searching in vain for the proclaimed consequences of climate change. We can now relax while watching the predators devouring the climate change carcass. See the attached and previous memos for details.

Those with a more philosophical view should consider the possible consequences of this failure on international, political, economic and scientific relations in the years ahead.

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