“Obviously the models they use are not worth a cup full of warm spit” March 2, 2010Posted by honestclimate in Discussions.
Tags: BoM, Bureau of Meteorology, climate change, global warming, Warwick Hughes
Huge BoM rain and temperature prediction failures
by Warwick Hughes
Warwick Hughes blog, March 1, 2010
This Bureau of Meteorology (BoM) prediction for summer made on 24 November 2009 has turned out to be so exactly wrong in several aspects. You can see in the BoM Outlook archive It is not only the 24 November prediction that is so wrong – check out their maps of predicted rain percentages published on 21 December, 19 January and there is no learning going on. Check actual rain here, choose 3 months to see summer rain.
The temperature Outlook for summer was just as hopeless but I have not got the time to put all these maps up – you can check against maps you can make here – make maps for 3 months for max and min anomaly, they compare with the BoM max and min temperature prediction maps for summer.
I am at a loss to understand how a well funded org of professionals can repeatedly get these Outlooks so wrong.
Obviously the models they use are not worth a cup full of warm spit.
Australia pays for better and deserves better.
Fore more by Warwick Hughes, click here