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Arctic refuses to behave; predictions adjusted October 29, 2009

Posted by honestclimate in Discussions.
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Arctic refuses to behave; predictions adjusted

By Andrew Bolt
Herald Sun, October 29, 09

Two years ago Californian researchers warned the ice in the Arctic could vanish in 2012Or thereabouts, agreed a NASA scientist. The US National Snow and Ice Data Centre claimed it could even be ice-free in 2008.

The Arctic ice in 2008 increased.

Oh. All right, so Al Gore in December 2008 adjusted his prediction of an ice-free Arctic to 2013:

Except the Arctic refreeze that winter was remarkably strong.

So early this year, Al Gore predicted the ice could vanish by 2014.

Yet the ice this year increased again.

Hmm. Britain’s Met Office now puts this catastrophism on ice – just for now:

Modelling of Arctic sea ice by the Met Office Hadley Centre climate model shows that ice invariably recovers from extreme events, and that the long-term trend of reduction is robust — with the first ice-free summer expected to occur between 2060 and 2080.

Read the rest here


1. jenli - October 29, 2009

I guess the Hong Kong fortune tellers predict better about futur arctic sea ice extent then the UK Met office does.

2. jenli - October 29, 2009

Asked what I prefer – computer climate models or models like Pamela Anderson – I would answer: Pamela Anderson!

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