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A Lethal Global Cocktail – why we should be concerned September 22, 2008

Posted by honestclimate in Global Cooling, sunspots.
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A lethal global cocktail – why we should be very concerned

By the blogowner, honestclimate, September 22, 2008

What do you get when you mix the following ingredients together?

Global Financial Crisis

+Global Cooling (extreme cooling predicted)

+Global Drought (severe drought predicted 2009-2016)

global drought

global financial crisis

global cooling

= A Lethal Global Cocktail

We have recently witnessed a financial crisis not seen in a long time, just last week Lehman Brothers filed for bankruptcy. Lehman Brothers was the oldest bank in the United States, a bank heavily invested in the politics of climate change, but couldn’t even predict its own downfall.

Now we have news of an impending global drought and global cooling, mix this in with the current financial crisis and we have reason for concern.

I’d like to share with you predictions by 2 well respected scientists:

The first by Professor William Alexander who has predicted a severe global drought from 2009-2016.

The second is a global cooling prediction by Professor Joseph D’Aleo.

Click here for Professor William Alexander’s Drought Prediction paper

Click here for Professor Joseph D’Aleo’s article on Global Cooling

As you can see we are in for some really tough times, whilst our politicians insist on squandering millions upon millions upon trying to prevent global warming, something us humans clearly have no control of. After all, the globe has refused to warm since 1998, whilst human co2 has increased substantially.


Professor William Alexander’s Biography

Professor Will Alexander

Professor Will Alexander

William J.R. Alexander is Professor Emeritus of the Department of Civil and Biosystems Engineering of the University of Pretoria, and Honorary Fellow of the South African Institution of Civil Engineering.

On his return to South Africa after serving with the South African forces in WWII, he obtained a BSc (Eng) degree at the University of the Witwatersrand at the end of 1949. He joined the then Department of Irrigation and spent the next 20 years in the field in charge of the construction of water supply projects. These culminated in the construction of the 82 km long Orange Fish Tunnel beneath the continental divide. It is the longest continuous tunnel in the world.

On his return to Pretoria he occupied the posts of Chief: Division of Hydrology, and Manager: Scientific Services in the renamed Department of Water Affairs and Forestry. In the latter capacity he represented South Africa on a number of international bodies. He was also member of the South African National Programme for Environmental Sciences and chaired its Inland Water Ecosystems Committee.

On retirement at the end of 1984 he accepted the post of professor in the Department of Civil and Biosystems Engineering at the University of Pretoria. In addition to his teaching and research commitments, he volunteered to assist with the alleviation of the plight of tens of thousands of people living in flood prone informal settlements in South Africa.

These activities led to his appointment by the Secretary General of the United Nations as a member of the UN Scientific and Technical Committee on Natural Disasters from 1994 to the end of the international decade in 2000.

His interest in climate change commenced in 1993 when climatologists produced alarmist predictions that were contrary to studies by civil engineers extending back to the 1950s. He retired from active teaching in 2000 but continued with research on flood frequency analyses, water resource development and natural disaster mitigation methods.

He spent the last 35 years of his career actively involved in the development of water resource and flood analysis methods as well as in natural disaster mitigation and climate change studies. He has written more than 200 papers, presentations and books on these subjects. He also presented short courses to some two thousand practitioners during this period.

For the past four years his research concentrated on climate change studies and the linkage with hydrometeorological processes, at his own expense.


Professor Joseph D’Aleo

Professor Joe D’Aleo

Professor Joseph D’Aleo’s Biography

Joseph D’Aleo was the first Director of Meteorology at the cable TV Weather Channel. He has over 30 years experience in professional meteorology. Mr. D’Aleo was Chief Meteorologist at Weather Services International Corporation and Senior Editor of “Dr. Dewpoint” for WSI’s popular Intellicast.com web site. He is a former college professor of Meteorology at Lyndon State College. He has authored and presented a number of papers as well as published a book focused on advanced applications enabled by new technologies and how research into ENSO and other atmospheric and oceanic phenomena has made skillful seasonal forecasts possible. Mr. D’Aleo has also authored many articles and made numerous presentations on the roles cycles in the sun and oceans have played in climate change.

Mr. D’Aleo is a Certified Consultant Meteorologist and was elected a Fellow of the American Meteorological Society (AMS). He has served as a member and then chairman of the American Meteorological Society’ Committee on Weather Analysis and Forecasting, and has co-chaired national conferences for both the American Meteorological Society and the National Weather Association. Mr. D’Aleo was elected a Councilor for the AMS.

Joseph D’Aleo is a graduate of the University of Wisconsin BS, MS and was in the doctoral program at NYU.

Mr. D’Aleo’s areas of expertise include climatology, natural factors involved in climate change, weather and climate prediction, and North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO).



1. Jeremy - December 13, 2008

This is a good blog and thoughtfully written, but I thought I should point out something about the claim that the earth hasn’t warmed since 1998, in the interest of honest climate debate. 1998 is a huge anomaly. Temperatures haven’t matched those of 98 since, but it was an extraordinarily hot year. Any serious analysis of the data has to allow for anomalies.
It is true to say that the world has not been as hot as it was in 1998, but that doesn’t mean for a moment that global warming stopped then. All the hottest years on record, after 1998, have been in the last decade. This last decade has been much hotter than the previous one.
The ‘no warming since 1998’ theory was written about by Bob Carter, using the data from the Climate Research Unit at the University of East Anglia. Here is that data, and one look at the whole picture confirms a warming trend.

2. honestclimate - December 13, 2008

Temperatures haven’t matched those of 98 since, but it was an extraordinarily hot year.

Yes 1998 was a warm year with an exceptionally hot El Nino. However, even now with record levels of c02, there has never since then been a hotter year. Looks to me like natural forces drive the climate more than human c02.

Here is that data, and one look at the whole picture confirms a warming trend.

The globe warmed until 1998 and then levelled off and is now cooling.
That graph only goes up to 2007. 2008 is turning out to be the coldest year this century, whilst c02 levels are at record high levels.

My question to you is, what has been driving the climate lately, whilst c02 has been at a record high?

3. Andrew - December 17, 2008

According to the United States National Climate data center, globally 2005 is the warmest year so far.

2007 had the warmest temperatures from Jan to Sept, but then La Nina started and it missed setting a new record.

The only reason why 1998 was so warm was because of El Nino.

El Nino and La Nina are the warm and cold oscillations that occur every few years in the Pacific ocean. Nothing to do with Global Warming, but they do push global temperatures up or down significantly.

4. Tom - January 14, 2009

Changing the mantra from “man-made global warming” to “man-made climate change” was a stroke of genius.

If the humidity is high, it’s man…. If the temperature is high, it’s man…. If the temperature is low, it’s man…. If there are hurricanes, it’s man…. Now, no matter what happens, it’s man’s fault.

We give ourselves way too much credit.

I’m glad there are still some sane people out there.

5. Mac - August 30, 2009

The planet is how old? In the distant past, the North Polar regions were tropical. Everyone is looking at five, ten or even 100 years and fretting about variations in temperature. The Halocene Epoch (now) is an interglacial period. The last glacial maximum is estimated to have peaked some 20,000 years ago and ended about 12,000 years ago (10,000 BC). Without global warming we wouldn’t be able to live on most of the earth’s surface, such as much of Northern Europe, Asia and North America. They would be under ice.

Resonant absorbtion of two wavelengths of IR radiation (out of all the wavelengths out there) by atmospheric CO2 and related temperature increases are logarithmic in nature, i.e., if we double CO2 concentration we will get an increase of ~1.8 C. If we double it again, we get ~1.8 C. Since all human activity is estimated to be responsible for approximately 5% of atmospheric CO2, any impact from human activity is negligilbe. Atmospheric CO2 levels are more a trailing indicator of global warming related to insolation levels and are primarly tracable to warming of the oceans. In the 1970s the warnings were of global cooling and a coming “ice age”, more properly called a glaciation. Increases in atmospheric CO2 alway precede a glacial maximum.

The principle “Global Warming” gas is H2O. There isn’t anything we can do about that, so they can’t use it to push any kind of a global political agenda. If you think it isn’t a political agenda Google ‘Agenda 21’. You will find the U.N. agenda for sustainable development for the 21st Century. It calls for the “carbon tax” to redistribute funds. This would cripple the developed countries economically. It also calls for reducing human population levels to 500 million, for the entire planet. A bleak outlook for much of the undeveloped world. They plan on reducing global population buy 6.5 billion.

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