jump to navigation

JUST PLAIN OLD WEATHER AGAIN May 1, 2009

Posted by honestclimate in Global Cooling.
Tags: , ,
add a comment

JUST PLAIN OLD WEATHER AGAIN

Tim Blair, Herald Sun, April 30, 2009

Hot weather in January was caused by …

GLOBAL WARMING!

EXTREME WEATHER!

THE ENVIRONMENT FIGHTING BACK!

Cold weather in April is caused by …

a dry air mass and clear skies.

a cold front.

nothing in particular.

If bushfires in Australia equal global warming, does the coldest April temperature ever recorded equal global cooling? April 29, 2009

Posted by honestclimate in Global Cooling.
Tags: , ,
1 comment so far

If bushfires in Australia equal global warming, does the coldest April temperature ever recorded equal global cooling?

A new Australian record was set early this morning, a temperature of minus 13 degrees, at Charlotte Pass on the Snowy Mountains.

This is the lowest temperature recorded anywhere in Australia in April and is 13 below the average. Nearby at Perisher it dipped to minus 11 degrees and at the top of Thredbo it dipped to minus 10.

Read the rest here

Global warming is running out of hot air March 27, 2009

Posted by honestclimate in Global Cooling.
Tags: , ,
add a comment

Global warming is running out of hot air

H/T Climate Change Fraud

Written by Phyllis Schlafly, Bend Weekly

Friday, 27 March 2009

The coldest winter in a decade in many places, with snow in unlikely cities such as New Orleans, has deflated some of the hot air in global warming. And a heavy snowfall that paralyzed Washington, D.C., upstaged a mass demonstration scheduled to promote global warming.

Nevertheless, according to Al Gore and the mainstream media, “the debate is over” proving that global warming exists, that humans are causing it and that “science is settled.”

But 680 of the world’s leading scientists, economists and policy analysts, who met March 8-10 in New York City for the second Heartland International Conference, beg to differ. The title of the conference expressed their doubts: “Global Warming: Was It Ever Really a Crisis?”

These authorities assert that scientists worldwide do not agree that global warming is human induced (in scientific lingo, anthropogenic). They do not even agree that the Earth is still warming.

Many scientists and other observers have come to realize that global warming is no longer a question of science but is all about politics and money. Their slogan, cap-and-trade, was best explained by House Minority Leader John A. Boehner, R-Ohio, as “a carbon tax that will increase taxes on all Americans who drive a car, who have a job, who turn on a light switch.”

President Obama is being pressured by James McCarthy, head of the American Association for the Advancement of Science, to rush his carbon tax through Congress before the American people discover the lie in Obama’s promise that “95 percent of working families” will not see their taxes rise by “a single dime.” In fact, his own budget shows that taxes will rise for 100 percent of Americans for the sake of global warming.

The United Nations Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change plans to use a treaty to reduce America’s use of energy and therefore our standard of living, while forcing us to subsidize energy production in other countries and close our eyes to the omission of China and India from any obligation.

Read rest…

The New Global Ice Age March 25, 2009

Posted by honestclimate in Global Cooling.
Tags: , ,
add a comment

The New Global Ice Age

H/T Climate Change Fraud

Written by MarketResearch.com

At first glance, a research piece predicting significantly colder weather seems rather bold. In reality, we’re very confident about this report. That’s because we are not so much predicting colder weather, but are instead observing it. More important, we’re attempting to coax our readers to view recent weather data and trends with a neutral perspective—unbiased by the constant barrage of misinformation about global warming. We assure you, based on the accuracy of climatologists’ long-term (and short-term!) forecasts, you would not even hire them!

For example, in 1923 a Chicago Tribune headline proclaimed: “Scientist says arctic ice will wipe out Canada.” By 1952, the New York Times declared “Melting glaciers are the trump card of global warming.” In 1974, Time Magazine ran a feature article predicting “Another Ice Age,” echoed in a Newsweek article the following year. Clearly, the recent history of climate prediction inspires little confidence—despite its shrillness. Why, then, accept the global warming thesis at face value? Merely because it is so pervasive?

Unfettered by the Gore-Tex straitjacket of global warming dogma, one might ask some obvious questions. Why, in 2008, did Toronto, the Midwest United States, India, China, the United Kingdom and several areas of Europe all break summer rainfall records? Why was South Africa converted into a ‘winter wonderland’ this past September? Why did Alaska record its coldest summer this year—cold enough for ice packs and glaciers to grow for the first time in measured history? Why has sea ice achieved record levels in recent months? Lastly, why did a rare October snow fall on London, on the 29th, as British Parliament debated—appropriately enough—a climate bill? If you don’t believe that 2008 has been particularly wet and cold, you’ve most likely contracted typhoid or you haven’t been paying attention.

The reality is that there are forces at work, already affecting the weather for the past two years, that will make the next twelve years significantly cooler than anything we have seen in past decades. This report explores these forces and provides a roadmap of what to expect as the new ice age unfolds.

Read more…

Canadian Prairie Winter Temperature Anomalies Drop By 6.6- 7.1 Degrees C in Just Three Years March 23, 2009

Posted by honestclimate in Global Cooling.
Tags: , ,
2 comments

Canadian Prairie Winter Temperature Anomalies Drop By 6.6- 7.1 Degrees C in Just Three Years

Via ICECAP

By Matt Vooro

For decades we have been urged by IPCC and various AGW supporting scientists to urgently prepare for unprecedented global warming. Yet only few years after the issue of their 2007 or latest report, exactly the opposite is happening. The entire planet is cooling and significantly. Some governments have implemented carbon tax and most are proposing more ‘back door taxes’ through the ‘cap and trade’ mechanism to fight even more global warming.

Sounds to me like another groundless search for weapons of mass destruction that never ever existed. Good taxpayer money is again being wasted for what purpose.

Global cooling is projected to last for another 20- 30 years and the future is likely one of alternating cycles of cooling and warming rather than unprecedented warming for 100years. (Don Easterbrook)

How Come The Media Is Giving IPCC A Free Ride Despite The Flawed Results?

Recent Global And Canadian Evidence Of Global Cooling

1] Global air temperature anomalies have been dropping for 3 years from 0.482C in 2005 to 0.325C in 2008.

2] Global sea surface temperature anomalies have been dropping for 5 years from 0.383C in 2003 to 0.274C in 2008

3] Southern hemisphere sea surface temperature anomalies have been dropping for 6 years from 0.372C in 2002 to 0.287C in 2008

4] The northern hemisphere sea surface temperature anomalies have been dropping for 5 years from 0.479C in 2003 to 0.261C in 2008

5] Canadian national annual temperature departures from the 1948 -2008 trend have been declining for two years from 2.4C in 2006 to 0.7C in 2008

image

image

6] Canadian west coast annual temperature departures from the 1948-2008 trend have been declining for four years from 1.5C in 2004 to -0.1 in 2008

7] Canadian national winter temperature departure from 1948-2009 trend has been dropping for 3 years from 3.9C in 2006 to 0.3C in 2009

8] The average winter temperature anomalies from the 1948-2009 trend for the three Canadian prairie provinces have dropped some 6.6 to 7.1 degrees C in only three years since 2006

IPCC projected decadal increases of 0.2 C degrees for each of the next 2 decades and 2 to 6 C by 2100. The observed historical trend is closer to 1.5 C per century during the last several years since 2005 actual temperatures are cooling at � 0.157 C per three years or equivalent of -0.52 C per decade per CRUtem 3 global air temperatures. Read more on how Matt ties the changes to the PDO and uses that to project ahead here.

The Ocean Really is Cooling March 21, 2009

Posted by honestclimate in Global Cooling.
Tags: , ,
1 comment so far

The Ocean Really is Cooling

From the Jennifer Marohasy Blog, March 21, 2009

THERE are 3,000 free-drifting buoys in the world’s ocean; first deployed in the year 2000 they allow continuous monitoring of the temperature, salinity, and velocity of the upper ocean.

There has though been some difficulty in interpreting the data from these buoys. Initial signs of cooling were dismissed as due to technical errors subsequently corrected based on a small sample of the 3,000 buoys known as profiling floats.

Craig Loehle has analysed the data from only the profiling floats for ocean heat content from 2003 to 2008.   In a paper recently published in the journal Energy and Environment he has concluded that there has been ocean cooling over this period.

This graphic is from figure 1 of the technical paper and shows the decline in ocean heat content (x1022J) smoothed with a 1-2-1 filter.

Dr Loehle’s findings are consistent with satellite and surface instrumental records that do not showing a warming trend over recent years.

Read the rest here

Blame Sunspots for Cool Winter, Spring Weather March 18, 2009

Posted by honestclimate in Global Cooling.
Tags: , , ,
1 comment so far

Blame Sunspots for Cool Winter, Spring Weather

Posted on ICECAP

By George Taylor, Democrat Herald.com

Brrrr! It’s been a cold week, in a cold month, in a cold winter. And it shows no sign of letting up. Last week the Northwest was gripped by unseasonably cold weather. Areas west of the Cascades saw temperatures dip into the 20s. Locally we dropped as low as 27 on the 13th. Eugene was even colder (24 on the 11th). Two days later, Eugene’s 25 degree-low broke the daily record (26) set in 1944. So far in March our local Hyslop Experiment Station has seen nine days with lows of 32 or below. The month of March averages 5.7 days, so we’re already well ahead of average for an entire March.

As cold as it was here, the Cascades generally protected us from the coldest Arctic air, which remained mostly north and east of us. On the 11th, Spokane, Wash., reported a low of 2 degrees. This was the latest date for a temperature of 2 degrees or less. The previous latest date occurred March 6, 1891. Sandpoint, Idaho, set a similar record the same day with a readi ng of -4 degrees, the latest date for a temperature that low.

Western Montana saw temperatures as low as -14, and subzero readings were reported in other states. In Oregon, many daily records were set, many far below the previous. Meacham was -11 on the 11th; the record for was 7, so this week�s weather broke the record by 18 degrees! LaGrande, Pendleton, Moro, The Dalles, Bend, Redmond, and others also set new records.

The cause of this cold month and cold year? Two things: the tropical Pacific and the sun. The tropical Pacific continues in its “La Nina” mode, in which ocean temperatures off South America are cooler than average. During such conditions, winters in the Northwest are cooler than average, wetter than average, or both. Snowpacks tend to be average or deeper. Thus far, we’ve had a cold but dry winter, with an average mountain snowpack.

The sun continues in its “solar minimum.” There is an 11-year cycle (about) in sunspots. When spots are plentiful, the sun’s energy is stronger, and there is a tendency for Earth�s temperatures to increase. During the low point there are few sunspots, and temperatures are more likely to drop. We have been in a solar minimum for more than a year. NASA and other agencies predicted that sunspot numbers would be increasing by now, but they are not. According to NASA, we are seeing:

- The lowest sustained solar radio flux since the F10.7 proxy was created in 1947;

- Solar wind is the lowest observed since the beginning of the space age;

- The solar wind magnetic field 36 percent weaker than during the minimum of Solar Cycle 23;

- Effectively no sunspots;

- Cosmic rays at near record-high levels.

These might make sense, but here’s what it means: The sun is quiet, and has been for an unusually long period. Looking back over the last several hundred years, we see that solar output has been high for the last 60 years; this coincided with a general increase in temperatures. There have been some periods with low sunspot counts for many years. The early 1700s and 1800s saw lengthy solar minima, accompanied by cold temperatures.

Some solar physicists are suggesting the minimum is a harbinger of lower sunspot numbers for the next several decades. That would mean lower air temperatures, in general – global cooling! Others suggest El Nino and La Nina conditions are driven by variations in the sun; periods with low solar output would bring La Nina conditions (such as now). We’ll see. But with a quiet sun and a continuing La Nina, I don’t expect temperatures to warm up much in the near future. Expect a cool spring, like last year.

image

George Taylor retired as State Climatologist last year and now operates Applied Climate Services of Corvallis.

Icing the hype March 14, 2009

Posted by honestclimate in Global Cooling.
Tags: , ,
add a comment

Icing the hype

From the Andrew Bolt Blog, March 15, 2009

The ABC accepts – without question – the word of a green alarmist that the world is both heating and drowning:


BARBARA MILLER: Just two years ago the UN Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change said in a worst case scenario, sea levels could rise by up to 59 centimetres by 2100. New information has now led to that figure being revised significantly upwards to a projected rise of a metre or even 1.2 metres. Dr Will Steffen the executive director of the Climate Change Institute at the Australian National University is at the summit in Copenhagen.

WILL STEFFEN: The 59 centimetres did not take into account the changes of the big polar ice sheets like Greenland and west Antarctica because they couldn’t be modelled very well at that time. We now have better information on how Greenland and west Antarctica, the polar ice sheets are behaving, and they’re leading us to believe that sea level rise will indeed be more than that 59 centimetres.

But here’s what the same conference was also told about Greenland – but which the ABC didn’t report:


The giant Greenland ice sheet may be more resistant to temperature rise than experts realised. The finding gives hope that the worst impacts of global warming, such as the devastating floods depicted in Al Gore’s film An Inconvenient Truth, could yet be avoided.

Jonathan Bamber, an ice sheet expert at the University of Bristol, told the conference that previous studies had misjudged the so-called Greenland tipping point, at which the ice sheet is certain to melt completely… “We found that the threshold is about double what was previously published,” Bamber told the Copenhagen Climate Congress…

And what of the actual observations of this reputedly fast-warming, fast-drowning climate?

In fact, sea levels haven’t risen for the past two years.

Temperatures haven’t risen for the past decade.

Hurricanes and cyclones have been decreasing in total energy.

Greenland hasn’t been following Europe’s warming trend.

And while the ABC subcontracts its reporting of an alarmist conference to alarmist scientists and activists, it virtually ignores another conference of sceptical scientists and other experts running at the very same time.

Is there a reason that so many reporters refuse to tempter their alarmist reports with cool facts based not on predictions but on observations?

(Thanks to reader Stanley.)

PS

When the wildest predictions at the IPCC conference are for sea level rises this century of up to 1.2 metres, will ABC science guru Robyn Williams concede at last that his own claims of sea level rises of up to 100 metres were grossly alamist and hyperbolic, with no basis in science? When will Media Watch pounce on a science journalist that can insist on something so preposterous?

http://blogs.news.com.au/heraldsun/andrewbolt/index.php/heraldsun/comments/icing_the_hype

Dr. Don Easterbrook’s Letter to Andy Revkin, New York Times Story March 12, 2009

Posted by honestclimate in Global Cooling.
Tags: , , ,
3 comments

Dr. Don Easterbrook’s Letter to Andy Revkin, New York Times Story

Posted on ICECAP

Dr. Don Easterbrook’s letter to Andy Revkin, New York Times

Andy

I was flying home all day yesterday and just now saw your story on some of the things I said at the conference in NY.  You very astutely got my point that no matter what the cause of global warming, the world is going to face huge energy and other resource problems (e.g., food production, water, etc.) in the coming decades with fewer and fewer resources.  But that isn’t the whole story – take a look at the attached satellite image of March 9, 2009 and compare it to the satellite image of June, 2008.  Notice that cool water in the Pacific that extends from the equator all the way up the west coast of North America into the Gulf of Alaska is still firmly entrenched.  This is the cool water phase of the PDO and it isn�t going to change for at least 2-3 decades (at least it never has in the past)and it is unaffected by atmospheric CO2 as shown by the three PDO switches this century that occurred before atmospheric CO2 increased significantly.  What this means is that no matter what the cause of global warming and cooling, we cannot escape the conclusion that the Earth is in for global cooling for the next 2-3 decades and will bring increasing energy and resource demands at a time of rapidly escalating population growth.

image
Satellite image of March 9, 2009 show the cool PDO in the eastern Pacific firmly entrenched.

image
Satellite image of June 19, 2008 show the cool PDO in the eastern Pacific.

Here is where Holdren and I part company – he wants carbon cap and trade that will cost hundreds of billions of dollars to curb ‘global warming’ that the PDO shows isn’t going to happen in the next several decades (no matter what the cause).  The PDO data shows conclusively that global cooling is going to continue for several decades, causing increasing demands of energy and resources (while population escalates), but if we spend hundreds of billions of dollars on cap and trade (as Holdren is pushing), we will have little left with which to handle the real problems of increasing demands on dwindling resources.  Holdren’s path will lead to a real global catastrophe.

Dr. Don Easterbrook

Final Score For The Met Office Winter Forecast March 7, 2009

Posted by honestclimate in Global Cooling.
Tags: , , ,
add a comment

Final Score For The Met Office Winter Forecast

Posted on Watts Up With That, March 3, 2009

Guest post by Steven Goddard

DART - Digital Advanced Reckoning Technology

The UK Met Office famously forecast this past winter to be “milder than average.

25 September 2008
The Met Office forecast for the coming winter suggests it is, once again,
likely to be milder than average.
Seasonal forecasts from the Met Office are used by many agencies across government, private and third sectors to help their long-term planning.

The meteorological winter is over, and the official results are in :

The UK had its coldest winter for 13 years, bucking a recent trend of mild temperatures, the Met Office has said.
The average mean temperature across December, January and February was 3.1C – the lowest since the winter beginning in 1995, which averaged 2.5C.

This missed forecast falls on the heels of two consecutive incorrect summer forecasts , both of which were forecast to be warm but turned out to be complete washouts.  However, the Met Office appears undaunted by their recent high profile forecasting failures, and they continue in their quest to educate the public about the imminent threat of global warming.

Peter Stott, of the Met Office, said despite this year’s chill, the trend to milder, wetter winters would continue.
He said snow and frost would become less of a feature in the future.
….
The Met Office added that global warming had prevented this winter from being even colder.

They have already warned that 2009 will be one of the five warmest years on record.

2009 is expected to be one of the top-five warmest years on record, despite continued cooling of huge areas of the tropical Pacific Ocean, a phenomenon known as La Niña.

Just as they had forecast that 2007 would be the hottest year on record, prior to temperatures plummeting by nearly a full degree.

2007 is likely to be the warmest year on record globally, beating the current record set in 1998, say climate-change experts at the Met Office.

Based on their past accuracy with seasonal and annual forecasting, you might want to bundle up and buy some new rain boots.
http://wattsupwiththat.com/2009/03/03/final-score-for-the-met-office-winter-forecast
Follow

Get every new post delivered to your Inbox.

Join 31 other followers