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Disaster damage well down in 2009 December 29, 2009

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Disaster damage well down in 2009

The Local.de, December 29, 2009

Munich Re, a leading global re-insurance group based in Germany, said Tuesday that natural catastrophes took many fewer lives and caused much less damage on average in 2009 than in the previous decade.

But the group nonetheless pointed to a higher total number of destructive events, around 850, than the long-term average since 1950, and deplored failure to achieve a breakthrough at the Copenhagen climate summit.

In its annual look at the cost of natural catastrophes, Munich Re said, “Losses were far lower in 2009 than in 2008 due to the absence on the whole of major catastrophes and a very benign North Atlantic hurricane season.”

It put the death toll this year at “around 10,000,” which was well below the average of 75,000 in each of the past 10 years.

In monetary terms too, losses in 2009 were much lower than the levels in previous years, the re-insurance giant said. It estimated total economic losses this year at $50 billion (€35 billion) and insured losses at $22 billion.

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The Unbearable Complexity of Climate December 28, 2009

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The Unbearable Complexity of Climate

Guest Post by Willis Eschenbach
Via Watts Up With That, 27 December 2009

Figure 1. The Experimental Setup

I keep reading statements in various places about how it is indisputable “simple physics” that if we increase amount of atmospheric CO2, it will inevitably warm the planet. Here’s a typical example:

In the hyperbolic language that has infested the debate, researchers have been accused of everything from ditching the scientific method to participating in a vast conspiracy. But the basic concepts of the greenhouse effect is a matter of simple physics and chemistry, and have been part of the scientific dialog for roughly a century.

Here’s another:

The important thing is that we know how greenhouse gases affect climate. It has even been predicted hundred years ago by Arrhenius. It is simple physics.

Unfortunately, while the physics is simple, the climate is far from simple. It is one of the more complex systems that we have ever studied. The climate is a tera-watt scale planetary sized heat engine. It is driven by both terrestrial and extra-terrestrial forcings, a number of which are unknown, and many of which are poorly understood and/or difficult to measure. It is inherently chaotic and turbulent, two conditions for which we have few mathematical tools.

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The Gold Standard December 27, 2009

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The Gold Standard

Written by David Lungren
SPPI, 23 December 2009

In 1971, the United States abandoned the gold standard, effectively ending the ability to convert dollars into gold. Now another gold standard has taken its place, i.e., the science produced by the UN’s Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC). According to NOAA Administrator Jane Lubchenco, the IPCC is “the gold standard for authoritative scientific information on climate change because of the rigorous way in which they are prepared, reviewed, and approved.” Unfortunately for some, the “gold standard” is at the heart of Climategate.

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“Global Warming” Cancels Christmas for Many Travelers – Breaks Records December 26, 2009

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“Global Warming” Cancels Christmas for Many Travelers – Breaks Records

Via Watts Up With That, 25 December 2009

Hundreds of passengers spent the night sleeping in Dallas Fort Worth Airport near Dallas, Friday, Dec. 25, 2009 after a winter storm forced the cancellation of many flights from Dallas. The Star-Telegram  newspaper said Dallas-Fort Worth was experiencing its first White Christmas in more than 80 years.  (AP Photo/J Pat Carter)

Hundreds of passengers spent the night sleeping in Dallas Fort Worth Airport near Dallas, Friday, Dec. 25, 2009 after a winter storm forced the cancellation of many flights from Dallas. The Star-Telegram newspaper said Dallas-Fort Worth was experiencing its first White Christmas in more than 80 years. (AP Photo/J Pat Carter)

From the “weather is not climate” department, inconvenient travel:

Here’s a sample of headlines related to difficult if not impossible holiday travel:

Christmas Eve storm in central states creates travel misery (WaPo)
A slow-moving storm spread snow, sleet and rain across the nation’s midsection Thursday, making last-minute holiday travel treacherous but promising a white Christmas for some.

The National Weather Service issued blizzard warnings for parts of Oklahoma, the Dakotas, Wisconsin, Minnesota and Texas. It cautioned that travel would be extremely dangerous in those areas through the weekend and that drivers should pack a winter survival kit.

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‘Scaremongering’ only increases public skepticism about global warming: Expert December 25, 2009

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‘Scaremongering’ only increases public skepticism about global warming: Expert

TopNews.in, December 25, 2009

London, Dec 25 : A leading global warming researcher has claimed that British Government’s ‘scaremongering’ tactics to convey environmental messages are not effective, and it is only increasing public skepticism about global warming.

Dr Lorraine Whitmarsh, who has carried out extensive research into public mistrust on the issue, said that the Government should rather incentivised low carbon lifestyles, which can save people money and have long term health benefits as well as helping slow climate change.

“The Government have tried to communicate climate change, but they haven””t done it well. Using scare tactics such as in the latest campaign with a drowning dog helps to raise the issue, but it also suggests we are all doomed and there is nothing else we can do,” The Express quoted Dr. Whitmarsh, as saying.

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Announcing The Timeline, “ClimateGate: 30 years in the making” December 24, 2009

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Announcing The Timeline, “ClimateGate: 30 years in the making”

Via Jo Nova, December 24, 2009

Here’s a Spectacular Poster of ClimateGate Covering 3 Decades

You have to see this to believe it. Look up close and admire the detail while you despair at how long science has been going off the rails. To better appreciate the past and what was exposed by the CRU emails, the time-line chart consolidates and chronologically organizes the information uncovered and published about the CRU emails by many researchers along with some related contextual events. That the chart exists at all is yet another example of how skilled experts are flocking in to the skeptics position and dedicating hours of time pro bono because they are passionately motivated to fight against those who try to deceive us.

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A sense of due proportion December 23, 2009

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A sense of due proportion

Via SPPI Blog, December 22, 2009

From The Viscount Monckton of Brenchley, snowed in at his country seat on the shore of Loch Rannoch

It is a glorious day outside the window of the Library at Carie. A foot or two of snow is on the fields and forests and on the distant Grampian Mountains. It is so cold that Loch Rannoch, the watery remnant of a mighty glacier that once swept majestically down from Rannoch Moor to distant Dundee 110 miles to the east and now placidly laps at the foot of our graceful lawns, is giving off a pearly mist, through which occasional darts of sunlight strike diamond fire from the fresh snow on Beinn Mhorlach, the little mountain on the far shore.

We cannot go anywhere, and no one can come to us. The roads for 30 miles around are impassable, and there is nothing the gallant roadmen of Perth and Kinross Council can do to keep them clear. So there is time to think a little, after the pandemonium of the collapsed Copenhagen climate conference.

The glaciers were here as recently as 9000 years ago. Then, by little and little, they went. Did they go because of manmade “global warming”? No, of course not. There were too few humans. There had been no Industrial Revolution. Our ancestors’ few, puny fires did not emit enough CO2 to make any measurable alteration to the composition of the atmosphere. Yet the glaciers went. There are greater forces acting upon our planet than we yet understand, and a little humility from the climatological/political community would be in order.

How is it that anyone, even for an instant, can seriously imagine that the doubling of today’s CO2 concentration that the IPCC predicts for this century will have a major and potentially catastrophic influence over the climate? Humankind is too insignificant to make any real difference to global temperature, as anyone with a sense of due proportion can see at once.

The ancient Greeks had a nifty aphorism – panta metrios. This means, “All things in due proportion”. Every great civilization has a sense of due proportion: every failing civilization loses it. Our classe politique, worldwide, has lost it big-time.

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Understanding Climate-Gate’s Hidden Decline December 22, 2009

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Understanding Climate-Gate’s Hidden Decline

Written by Marc Sheppard
SPPI, December 21, 2009

Close followers of the Climategate controversy know that much of the mêlée surrounds an e-mail in which Climate Research Unit (CRU) chief Phil Jones wrote about using “Mike’s Nature Trick” (MNT) to “hide the decline.” And yet, seventeen days and thousands of almost exclusively on-line op-eds into this scandal, it still seems that very few understand exactly which “decline” was being hidden, what “trick” was used to do so, and why Jones’s words have become the slogan for the greatest scientific fraud in history

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COPENHAGEN COLLAPSE by Will Alexander, S. African UN Scientist December 21, 2009

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COPENHAGEN COLLAPSE by Will Alexander, S. African UN Scientist

Via Climate Realists, December 20, 2009

My memo with this title is attached together with my message titled Children of Africa.

Copenhagen has come and gone. It was a nail biting experience watching the developments on TV and downloading all the Internet items. Now I can get on with my life.

While you enjoy the Christmas festivities, give a thought to the millions of people in the world living in conditions of abject poverty.

Regards and a Merry Christmas,

Will

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How to Manufacture a Climate Consensus December 20, 2009

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How to Manufacture a Climate Consensus

By PATRICK J. MICHAELS
WSJ, December 17, 2009

Few people understand the real significance of Climategate, the now-famous hacking of emails from the University of East Anglia Climatic Research Unit (CRU). Most see the contents as demonstrating some arbitrary manipulating of various climate data sources in order to fit preconceived hypotheses (true), or as stonewalling and requesting colleagues to destroy emails to the United Nations Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) in the face of potential or actual Freedom of Information requests (also true).

But there’s something much, much worse going on—a silencing of climate scientists, akin to filtering what goes in the bible, that will have consequences for public policy, including the Environmental Protection Agency’s (EPA) recent categorization of carbon dioxide as a “pollutant.”

The bible I’m referring to, of course, is the refereed scientific literature. It’s our canon, and it’s all we have really had to go on in climate science (until the Internet has so rudely interrupted). When scientists make putative compendia of that literature, such as is done by the U.N. climate change panel every six years, the writers assume that the peer-reviewed literature is a true and unbiased sample of the state of climate science.

That can no longer be the case. The alliance of scientists at East Anglia, Penn State and the University Corporation for Atmospheric Research (in Boulder, Colo.) has done its best to bias it.

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