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The Earth Cools, and Fight Over Warming Heats Up October 31, 2009

Posted by honestclimate in Discussions.
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The Earth Cools, and Fight Over Warming Heats Up

By JEFFREY BALL
The Wall Street Journal, October 30, 2009

Many Scientists Say Temperature Drop From Recent Record Highs Is a Blip, While a Few See a Trend; Inexact Climate Models

Two years ago, a United Nations scientific panel won the Nobel Peace Prize after concluding that global warming is “unequivocal” and is “very likely” caused by man.

Then came a development unforeseen by the U.N.’s Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, or IPCC: Data suggested that Earth’s temperature was beginning to drop.

That has reignited debate over what has become scientific consensus: that climate change is due not to nature, but to humans burning fossil fuels. Scientists who don’t believe in man-made global warming cite the cooling as evidence for their case. Those who do believe in man-made warming dismiss the cooling as a blip triggered by fleeting changes in ocean currents; they predict greenhouse gases will produce rising temperatures again soon.

The reality is more complex. A few years of cooling doesn’t mean that people aren’t heating up the planet over the long term. But the cooling wasn’t predicted by all the computer models that underlie climate science. That has led to one point of agreement: The models are imperfect.

“There is a lot of room for improvement” in the models, says Mojib Latif, a climate scientist in Germany and co-author of a paper predicting the planet will cool for perhaps a decade before starting to warm again — a long-term trend he attributes to greenhouse-gas emissions. “You need to know what you can believe and can’t believe from the models.”

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1. John McClintcck - November 24, 2009

You can believe that there needs to be a lot more research in the cause of climate change. We can look to humankind as being the cause and a contributor of CO2 to earths atmosphere. However, in nature the numbers are staggering when compared to what humans contribute.

While the IPCC and their science is predicting Global Warming, what on the other hand if the earth were to move into another little ice age. It would be far easer to deal with global warming than another Ice Age. Hey people we need to understand that this is a political argument. and the scientists are in the middle of both sides. We all know we want to protect our jobs be pleasing the boss. All we have to do is follow the money to realize each side is being funded by someone from each side that stands to gain financially. Either those in the fossil fuel business or the wind or solar business.

The real losers here are the ones who will be paying for this down the road, either way we pay. If you believe what the IPCC is saying go with that and be an advocate. On the other hand, should we be heading towards another little ice age. Your going to be blaming them for not seeing what was coming when you cold and hungry.

I’ve read a lot of press and studied the subject for two years and I still have not come to a conclusion either way.
But I do want to make a point here! I am a advocate of alternative energy, I’m not an environmentalist and my choices are clear. Head towards the new technology, install solar water heating systems. Install solar photovoltaic panels on your roof, demand from our auto makers new and better fuel efficient automobiles. It your a believer, take action. Right now the federal government is offering a 30% tax credit and many states are following.

But I want you to understand that no matter what the science say about Global Warming it won’t make a difference if we have a shift in the earth’s angle of rotation. We might find the equator located some were around North Carolina. That would make a lot of folks a lot better off in Canada when it comes to growing food crops.
And, the south pole might be located some were in south America, not so good for the folks in South America.

Climate Change is real, YES, it’s is happing today! Is it something we should be concerned about, YES. Is there anything we can do about it, YES. Get more involved with the technologies of alternative energy. We all know that as time goes on that fossil fuel will become more expensive.

My reason for installing a solar water heating was not because I believe in Global Warming, but that I am saving money on my natural gas bill, and helps our country become more energy independent . If it helps the environment, well that,s good as well.

Last, we really need to make certain that the science is right about the global warming issue before we allow our government to legislate a tax on CO2.


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