“Global warming creates volatility. I feel it when I’m flying” August 12, 2009
Posted by honestclimate in humour.Tags: climate change, climate change madness, global warming
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“Global warming creates volatility. I feel it when I’m flying”
Via Watts Up with That, August 11, 2009
From Planet Gore: Sen. Debbie Stabenow, Energy Leader [Henry Payne]

from http://stabenow.senate.gov/
Detroit, Mich. — Michigan just experienced its coldest July on record; global temperatures haven’t risen in more than a decade; Great Lakes water levels have resumed their 30-year cyclical rise (contrary to a decade of media scare stories that they were drying up due to global warming), and polls show that climate change doesn’t even make a list of Michigan voters’ top-ten concerns.
Yet in an interview with the Detroit News Monday (a private meeting with the DN editorial board), Senator Debbie Stabenow (D., Mich.) — recently appointed to the Senate Energy Committee — made clear that fighting the climate crisis is her top priority.
“Climate change is very real,” she confessed as she embraced cap and trade’s massive tax increase on Michigan industry — at the same time claiming, against all the evidence, that it would not lead to an increase in manufacturing costs or energy prices. “Global warming creates volatility. I feel it when I’m flying. The storms are more volatile. We are paying the price in more hurricanes and tornadoes.”
And there are sea monsters in Lake Michigan. I can feel them when I’m boating.
Since Stabenow says Global warming causes more hurricanes and tornadoes, lets have a look at the data.

Graph from NWS/NOAA. Smaller (F1) tornadoes seem to be on the increase, but not larger ones.
Even though tornado reports seem to be on the rise, the larger damaging tornados, F2-F5 don’t seem to be. There are some good reasons for this, and it might be a good primer for readers to revisit this report I made about the issue of tornado reporting:
Increasing tornadoes or better information gathering?
On the issue of Hurricanes, even USA Today is beginning to have doubts:
excerpt:
The official start of the hurricane season is June 1. And not since 1992 — the year of Hurricane Andrew — has the Atlantic Ocean been silent past Aug. 4. Meteorologists have yet to name even a single tropical storm in the Atlantic in 2009.
So is global warming really doing anything?
“While it is commonly thought that global warming would increase hurricane activity, that is far from a settled issue,” said Rob Eisenson, a meteorologist at Western Connecticut State University. “There are some research studies that suggest global warming would not have that effect.”
NOAA has lowered their hurricane season forecast.
And Accumulated Cyclone Energy is quite low so far this year and lower than usual last year:
Ryan Maue of Florida State University writes in comments in a previous WUWT story:
Global (Northern Hemisphere) tropical cyclone ACE for the months May – June – July is the lowest in at least the past 30-years or more.
I, for one, am not surprised. Continued inactivity should persist for the next few weeks until the atmosphere catches up with the radiative warming of the tropical oceans due to the season called summer.
2007 was a dud. 2008 was saved from being a record year by 2007. 2009 is behind the pace of both years. Amazing how natural variability affects tropical cyclone formation, tracks, and intensity. Who would have thought?
Ryan’s Tropical web page at Florida State University has this graph that shows accumulated cyclone energy (ACE) :
Sorted monthly data: Text File
Note where 2009 is in the scheme of things.
The end is nigh by Professor Will Alexander August 11, 2009
Posted by honestclimate in Discussions.Tags: climate change, global warming, Professor Will Alexander
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The end is nigh
By Professor Will Alexander
Via ICECAP, August 10, 2009
Climate is never constant on any time or space scales. It varies from day to day all the way through to decades, centuries and beyond. It also varies from our backyards all the way through to the other side of the world. The climate of the Kalahari Desert is not replicated anywhere in Europe. Despite all this we are told that the overwhelming consensus of (northern hemisphere) scientists is that the end of the world awaits us if we don’t control our carbon dioxide emissions into the atmosphere. These are from coal burning power stations, motor and air transport, gas stoves and charcoal braais.
How can we possibly live without these essentials of modern life? Close your eyes and imagine the effect of blackouts in our homes. Imagine deserted streets. Imagine the effect on our tourist industry. Imagine the collapse of our economy. Imagine growing social unrest and a return of xenophobic conflicts. Imagine the conflicts with our neighbouring countries over the remaining water in our rivers. Yet none of these consequences are taken into account when the climate alarmists start preaching their distorted gospels.
The problem goes even deeper. Millions of children on the African continent are starving. Yet these same ‘scientists’ are more concerned with threats to our wildlife, tadpoles and water lilies than with humanitarian concerns. Photographs of dead crocodiles in the Olifants River are more newsworthy than those of sickly children with protruding ribs because they have nothing to eat.
Fortunately all this alarmism is about to come to an end. Like the pendulum of a clock, the world’s climate is on the verge of changing phases from warming back to cooling. These changes do not take place gradually. The climate alarmists are about to be exposed for what they are.
Unwisely, the South African authorities have deliberately ignored the views of those of us who challenge the scientific validity of the whole climate change issue. We have had to suffer all sorts of insults and indignities. Now at last our smiles are returning. Last week the TV programme Carte Blanche repeated its bedtime scare stories. Viewers were shown scenes of chunks of Greenland glaciers collapsing into the sea as a result of global warming. This is nonsense. Glaciers are rivers of ice that have been flowing into the sea since the beginning of time.
These scenes were followed by shots of a South American glacier in full bloom in 1928, and only scraps of snow and ice left last year. The audience was not told that the 1928 photo was taken in mid winter and the recent photo in mid summer.
Then there were those frightening sketches of Table Mountain becoming an island surrounded by the rising ocean levels as the Antarctic ice melted.
Fortunately the TV programme did not include the two photographs of Marion Island that have featured in the newspapers. The island is halfway between South Africa and the Antarctic. One photograph showed the lone glacier on the island sweeping across the foreground. The other showed that the glacier had disappeared as a result of global warming. The producer of the photograph underestimated the intelligence of the viewers. The second photograph was an enlargement of the barren background in the first photograph!
These are the depths to which climate alarmists are prepared to descend to in order to persuade the public and generate research funding regardless of the truth or the consequences. Eventually they get caught up in their own spider webs. Read the full article here.
Must See Video: Greenhouse Conspiracy August 9, 2009
Posted by honestclimate in Videos.Tags: climate change, global warming, Greenhouse Conspiracy
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Must See Video: Greenhouse Conspiracy
Screened back in the year 1990
There is an interesting interview at the 41:40 mark with Professor Stephen Schneider regarding his global cooling/ice age view in the 1970s….
Going green to the extreme August 8, 2009
Posted by honestclimate in Discussions.Tags: climate change, climate change madness, global warming
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Going green to the extreme
CNN Connect the World Blog, August 7, 2009
How much would you sacrifice to save the planet? Would you consider not having a child?
A new study by Oregon State University suggests having multiple children may be the most environmentally damaging of all human activities.
By having one less child, an American would save more than nine thousand metric tonnes of carbon dioxide – many more times what you could save by simply living a rigidly green lifestyle.
Professor Ben Zuckerman at UCLA suggests this could be a wake-up call for environmental groups. He says: “The mainstream environmental movement has entirely dropped the ball on this issue and I think its really been a disaster for our country… They have hundreds of trivial ways in which one can reduce one’s environmental impact of the earth but they don’t even mention population.”
For the record, it has not yet been scientifically proved that there is a link between human activity and global warming, even if there is a broad consensus on a connection.
Do you think environmental groups will be going well beyond their remit if they start advising against having children? Or do you think the situation has become so serious, each one of us should consider taking such drastic action if it’s relevant?
Sceptics create a best-seller! August 6, 2009
Posted by honestclimate in Discussions.Tags: climate change, global warming, Professor Ian Plimer
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Sceptics create a best-seller

Andrew Bolt, Herald Sun
Thursday, August 06, 2009
Professor Ian Plimer’s Heaven and Earth, a bestseller here despite being rejected by four preachy publishers, has now been released in the US – and should do some damage to global warming alarmists there, too, to judge by its Amazon ranking:
Amazon.com Sales Rank: #132 in Books…
Popular in these categories:…
#1 in Books > Professional & Technical > Professional Science > Biological Sciences > Ecology
#1 in Books > Science > Earth Sciences > Meteorology
#1 in Books > Science > Earth Sciences > Climatology > Climate Changes
Once more scientists and politicians realise there’s an audience for scepticism at the claims of warming alarmists, more will speak out.
Meanwhile, a new paper by Henrik Svensmark implicates the sun in global warming – and cooling:
Our results show global-scale evidence of conspicuous influences of solar variability on cloudiness and aerosols… From solar activity to cosmic ray ionization to aerosols and liquid-water clouds, a causal chain appears to operate on a global scale.
Anthony Watts explains:
This paper confirms 13 years of discoveries that suggest a key role for cosmic rays in climate change. It links observable variations in the world’s cloudiness to laboratory experiments in Copenhagen showing how cosmic rays help generate atmospheric aerosols. This is important, because it confirms the existence of a sun-earth atmospheric modulation mechanism for clouds and aerosols.
But there’s been a big jump in global temperature for July.
Mild season in Tornado Alley frustrates scientists August 4, 2009
Posted by honestclimate in Discussions.Tags: climate change, global warming, tornado
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Mild season in Tornado Alley frustrates scientists
Via ICECAP, Aug 03, 2009
By Melanie S. Welte
This has been an unusually mild year in Tornado Alley, which is good news, of course, for the people who live here, but a little frustrating to scientists who planned to chase twisters as part of a $10 million research project.
“You’re out there to do the experiment and you’re geared up every day and ready. And when there isn’t anything happening, that is frustrating,” said Don Burgess, a scientist at the University of Oklahoma. But he was quick to add that he is pleased the relative quiet has meant fewer injuries and less damage.
Nationwide, there were 826 tornadoes this year through June 30, compared with an average of 934 for the same period during the previous three years, according to the National Severe Storms Laboratory in Norman, Okla. Most twisters strike in Tornado Alley, which generally extends from Texas and Oklahoma to Kansas, Nebraska, Iowa and Minnesota.
During a remarkable 17-day lull from mid-May through early June, there were no tornado watches issued anywhere in the United States. And that is typically the height of the season in Tornado Alley.
“It was very, very unusual,” said Joe Schaefer, director of the Storm Prediction Center in Norman, which, like the Severe Storms lab, operates under the National Weather Service.
Meteorologists are attributing the relative calm not to anything dire, like global warming, but to the shifts in the jet stream that happen from time to time. When the jet stream runs south to north in the spring over the central states, there are usually plenty of tornadoes. When it’s more west to east, as it is this year, tornadoes are less common.
The serenity has proved exasperating for people like Burgess and other researchers working on Vortex2, a project funded by the National Science Foundation and the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration to study tornadoes in May and June. Except for one twister in Wyoming, the researchers were left with little to examine. The relative calm follows a horrific 2008, when 1,304 tornadoes and 121 deaths were recorded by the end of June. In all of last year, there were 1,691 tornadoes and 126 deaths.
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See larger image here.
Organizers of Vortex2 had hoped that a close-up look at killer storms this year by more than 100 scientists and assistants from various universities and the government would help them forecast storms more accurately and increase warning times. “There weren’t any tornadoes to find,” said Harold Brooks, a research meteorologist with the Severe Storms Laboratory. And when tornadoes did form, only a couple of funnel clouds would appear at a time, not the dozens that can materialize.
“No long tracks, massive killer tornadoes,” Schaefer said. “They’ve been coming in onesies and twosies.” Even in this quiet year, there have been devastating storms. The worst tornado hit the night of Feb. 10 in Lone Grove, Okla., killing eight people in a mobile home park. Also in February, one person died when a twister destroyed a church and mobile homes in Hickory Grove, Ga. Through the end of June, tornadoes had killed 21 people nationwide. “If we get rid of the February outbreak, it’s been a fairly good year,” Schaefer said. Read full story here.
Why Wong couldn’t answer August 3, 2009
Posted by honestclimate in Discussions.Tags: climate change, global warming, penny wong, Professor David R. Legates, Willie Soon
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Why Wong couldn’t answer
Andrew Bolt, August 03, 2009
Herald Sun
Astrophysicist Willie Soon and climatologist Professor David R. Legates answer the questions that stumped Climate Change Minister Penny Wong, undermining the entire argument for the Rudd Government’s job-killing emissions trading scheme:
The brief answers to Senator Fielding’s questions are –
(1) Yes, temperatures did fall after 1998 while carbon dioxide rose;
(2) Yes, late 20th century warming was indeed not unusual in either its rate of change or magnitude; and
(3) Yes, all IPCC models did project warming through a ten year period when instead cooling occurred.
…
Taken together, the correct answers to Senator Fielding’s questions indicate that the hypothesis of dangerous global warming caused by human carbon dioxide emissions is invalid. It follows that costly emissions trading legislation is at best pointless. Doubtless this is why it has been so hard to elicit clear statements on the matter from Minister Wong and her supporters.
Read the full response from Soon and Legates here.
UPDATE
Warm winter? The New York Times in 2000 blamed global warming:
For the third year in a row, the United States has set a record for winter warmth, federal scientists reported yesterday… Shorter and milder winters are consistent with a century-long global warming trend that mainstream scientists believe has been at least partly caused by emissions of heat-trapping waste industrial gases like carbon dioxide.
Cool summer? The New York Times in 2009 blames everything else but global cooling:
Depending on Friday’s high, this was the second or third coolest June and July recorded in New York. If August follows the same pattern — and the latest forecast through midmonth predicts that it will — this could be the coolest summer on record… One reason for the record-breaking low temperatures was the record-breaking rainfall and accompanying cloud cover… Mr. Gadomski explained that a persistent high-level jet stream has sent cooler air streaming from the north and northwest.
UPDATE 2
Christopher Booker on an ominous silence from othe Met – one of the world’s top centres of climate alarmism, and producers of a key measure of world temperatures:
In recent months, in fact, a curious little drama has been unfolding over attempts by Steve McIntyre, a Canadian statistical expert, to get the Met Office and the CRU to divulge the computer data on which they base their temperature record. Mr McIntyre was not only the chief demolisher of the “hockey stick”, showing how it was based on a seriously skewed computer model, but later exposed the “adjustments” which had skewed the other official record of surface temperatures, run by Dr James Hansen of the Goddard Institute for Space Studies. (The two other official sources of temperature data are based on satellite measurements.)
When Mr McIntyre made Freedom of Information requests to see the data used to construct the HadCrut record (as he has chronicled on his ClimateAudit blog) he was given an almighty brush-off, the Met Office saying that this information was strictly confidential and that to release it would damage Britain’s “international relations” with all the countries that supplied it.
The idea that temperature records might be a state secret seems strange enough, but when the policies of governments across the world are based on that data it becomes odder still that no outsider should be allowed to see it. Weirdest of all, however, is the Met Office’s claim that to release the data would “damage the trust that scientists have in those scientists who happen to be employed in the public sector”.
Worse, McIntyre says data is now being purged by the CRU.
Climate Change Alarmism Timeline 1895-2009 August 2, 2009
Posted by honestclimate in Discussions.Tags: climate change, Global Cooling, global warming
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Climate Change Timeline – 1895-2009

Via But Now You Know
There is most certainly a pattern to climate change…but it’s not what you may think:
For at least 114 years, climate “scientists” have been claiming that the climate was going to kill us…but they have kept switching whether it was a coming ice age, or global warming.
- 1895 - Geologists Think the World May Be Frozen Up Again – New York Times, February 1895
- 1902 - “Disappearing Glaciers…deteriorating slowly, with a persistency that means their final annihilation…scientific fact…surely disappearing.” – Los Angeles Times
- 1912 - Prof. Schmidt Warns Us of an Encroaching Ice Age – New York Times, October 1912
- 1923 - “Scientist says Arctic ice will wipe out Canada” – Professor Gregory of Yale University, American representative to the Pan-Pacific Science Congress, – Chicago Tribune
- 1923 - “The discoveries of changes in the sun’s heat and the southward advance of glaciers in recent years have given rise to conjectures of the possible advent of a new ice age” – Washington Post
- 1924 - MacMillan Reports Signs of New Ice Age – New York Times, Sept 18, 1924
- 1929 - “Most geologists think the world is growing warmer, and that it will continue to get warmer” – Los Angeles Times, in Is another ice age coming?
- 1932 - “If these things be true, it is evident, therefore that we must be just teetering on an ice age” – The Atlantic magazine, This Cold, Cold World
- 1933 - America in Longest Warm Spell Since 1776; Temperature Line Records a 25-Year Rise – New York Times, March 27th, 1933
- 1933 – “…wide-spread and persistent tendency toward warmer weather…Is our climate changing?” – Federal Weather Bureau “Monthly Weather Review.”
- 1938 - Global warming, caused by man heating the planet with carbon dioxide, “is likely to prove beneficial to mankind in several ways, besides the provision of heat and power.”– Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society
- 1938 - “Experts puzzle over 20 year mercury rise…Chicago is in the front rank of thousands of cities thuout the world which have been affected by a mysterious trend toward warmer climate in the last two decades” – Chicago Tribune
- 1939 - “Gaffers who claim that winters were harder when they were boys are quite right… weather men have no doubt that the world at least for the time being is growing warmer” – Washington Post
- 1952 - “…we have learned that the world has been getting warmer in the last half century” – New York Times, August 10th, 1962
- 1954 - “…winters are getting milder, summers drier. Glaciers are receding, deserts growing” – U.S. News and World Report
- 1954 - Climate – the Heat May Be Off – Fortune Magazine
- 1959 - “Arctic Findings in Particular Support Theory of Rising Global Temperatures” – New York Times
- 1969 - “…the Arctic pack ice is thinning and that the ocean at the North Pole may become an open sea within a decade or two” – New York Times, February 20th, 1969
- 1970 - “…get a good grip on your long johns, cold weather haters – the worst may be yet to come…there’s no relief in sight” – Washington Post
- 1974 - Global cooling for the past forty years – Time Magazine
- 1974 - “Climatological Cassandras are becoming increasingly apprehensive, for the weather aberrations they are studying may be the harbinger of another ice age” – Washington Post
- 1974 - “As for the present cooling trend a number of leading climatologists have concluded that it is very bad news indeed” – Fortune magazine, who won a Science Writing Award from the American Institute of Physics for its analysis of the danger
- 1974 - “…the facts of the present climate change are such that the most optimistic experts would assign near certainty to major crop failure…mass deaths by starvation, and probably anarchy and violence” – New York Times
- 1975 - Scientists Ponder Why World’s Climate is Changing; A Major Cooling Widely Considered to Be Inevitable – New York Times, May 21st, 1975
- 1975 - “The threat of a new ice age must now stand alongside nuclear war as a likely source of wholesale death and misery for mankind” Nigel Calder, editor, New Scientist magazine, in an article in International Wildlife Magazine
- 1976 - “Even U.S. farms may be hit by cooling trend” – U.S. News and World Report
- 1981 - Global Warming – “of an almost unprecedented magnitude” – New York Times
- 1988 - I would like to draw three main conclusions. Number one, the earth is warmer in 1988 than at any time in the history of instrumental measurements. Number two, the global warming is now large enough that we can ascribe with a high degree of confidence a cause and effect relationship to the greenhouse effect. And number three, our computer climate simulations indicate that thegreenhouse effect is already large enough to begin to effect the probability of extreme events such as summer heat waves. – Jim Hansen, June 1988 testimony before Congress, see His later quote and His superior’s objection for context
- 1989 -”On the one hand, as scientists we are ethically bound to the scientific method, in effect promising to tell the truth, the whole truth, and nothing but – which means that we must include all doubts, the caveats, the ifs, ands and buts. On the other hand, we are not just scientists but human beings as well. And like most people we’d like to see the world a better place, which in this context translates into our working to reduce the risk of potentially disastrous climate change. To do that we need to get some broad based support, to capture the public’s imagination. That, of course, means getting loads of media coverage. So we have to offer up scary scenarios, make simplified, dramatic statements, and make little mention of any doubts we might have. This “double ethical bind” we frequently find ourselves in cannot be solved by any formula. Each of us has to decide what the right balance is between being effective and being honest. I hope that means being both.” – Stephen Schneider, lead author of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, Discover magazine, October 1989
- 1990 - “We’ve got to ride the global warming issue. Even if the theory of global warming is wrong, we will be doing the right thing – in terms of economic policy and environmental policy” – Senator Timothy Wirth
- 1993 - “Global climate change may alter temperature and rainfall patterns, many scientists fear, with uncertain consequences for agriculture.” – U.S. News and World Report
- 1998 - No matter if the science [of global warming] is all phony . . . climate change [provides] the greatest opportunity to bring about justice and equality in the world.” —Christine Stewart, Canadian Minister of the Environment, Calgary Herald, 1998
- 2001 - “Scientists no longer doubt that global warming is happening, and almost nobody questions the fact that humans are at least partly responsible.” – Time Magazine, Monday, Apr. 09, 2001
- 2003 - Emphasis on extreme scenarios may have been appropriate at one time, when the public and decision-makers were relatively unaware of the global warming issue, and energy sources such as “synfuels,” shale oil and tar sands were receiving strong consideration” – Jim Hansen, NASA Global Warming activist, Can we defuse The Global Warming Time Bomb?, 2003
- 2006 - “I believe it is appropriate to have an over-representation of factual presentations on how dangerous it is, as a predicate for opening up the audience to listen to what the solutions are, and how hopeful it is that we are going to solve this crisis.” — Al Gore, Grist magazine, May 2006
- Now: The global mean temperature has fallen for two years in a row, which is why you stopped hearing details about the actual global temperature, even while they carry on about taxing you to deal with it…how long before they start predicting an ice age?
Read the rest here
UK Met Office climate scientist: World temperatures set for record highs August 1, 2009
Posted by honestclimate in Discussions.Tags: climate change, global warming, uk met office
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World temperatures set for record highs
The Telegraph, July 28, 2009
World temperatures are set to rise much faster than expected as a result of climate change over the next ten years, according to meteorologists.
In the last few years the world has experienced a “cooler period” since record high temperatures in summer 1998.
This has been used by global warming sceptics as proof that greenhouse gases are not causing a rise in temperatures.
However a new study by Nasa said the warming effect of greenhouse gases has been masked since 1998 because of a downward phase in the cycles of the sun that means there is less incoming sunlight and the El Nino weather pattern causing a cooling period over the Pacific.
But from this year solar activity will begin to pick up again and the El Nino phenomenon will cause storms and heatwaves.
The research, to be published in Geophysical Research Letters, was carried out by Nasa’s Goddard Institute for Space Studies the US Naval Research Laboratory.
It adds to existing data from the UN’s Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) that predicted temperatures will rise because of an increase in greenhouse gases trapping heat in the atmosphere.
Because greenhouse gases stay in the atmosphere, temperatures are set to increase over the next few years because the world is producing more carbon dioxide.
The new study adds the effect of El Nino, which is entering a new warm phase and of the impact of the solar cycle.
Gareth Jones, a climate research scientist at the Met Office, said the effect of global warming is unlikely to be masked by shorter term weather patterns in the future.
He said that 50 per cent of the 10 years after 2011 will be warmer than 1998. After that any year cooler than 1998 will be considered unusual.
“The amount of warming we expect from human impacts is so huge that any natural phenomenon in the future is unlikely to counteract it in the long term,” he said.






























