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The Skeptics Handbook July 8, 2009

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The Skeptics Handbook

Andrew Bolt
Herald Sun, July 08, 2009

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Perth-based science communicator Joanne Nova has published a sensational Skeptics Handbook, already translated into German, French and Norwegian.

It crisply summarises the biggest weaknesses in the arguments that man is heating the world to hell, and suggests the best ways to argue against alarmists. Please circulate widely.

Al Gore’s Inconvenient Truth! July 7, 2009

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Al Gore’s Inconvenient Truth!

The below cartoon from Minnesotans For Global Warming had me in stitches!


Solar Power – a Subsidised Appendage July 6, 2009

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Solar Power – a Subsidised Appendage

By Viv Forbes, Chairman, The Carbon Sense Coalition
H/T ICECAP

Australian electricity consumers can look forward to soaring charges for electricity and blackouts if state and federal politicians continue to undermine the power grid by mandating and subsidising solar power generation.

Solar power can never produce continuous, predictable low cost power. It must always be supported by expensive power storage systems or by reliable power sources such as coal, gas, hydro or nuclear.

No matter how many millions of taxpayer money is poured into “research”, it can never solve the two fatal flaws of solar power.

Firstly, sunlight energy arrives in very dilute form, and thus needs vast areas of collectors to harvest significant energy. This results in high capital costs and much environmental disturbance. Solar power can light one 75-watt bulb for every card table of collectors (in the middle of the day only). How many card tables do we need to run the trains, factories, fridges, homes, heaters, hospitals and tools of a big city?

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Secondly, the solar energy produced during daylight hours is constantly variable and unpredictable, and zero power is generated at night. As a result, solar power farms seldom produce more than an average of 15% of their rated capacity over a year and as low as 1% for a day or so.

In Australia, the maximum electricity demand occurs at about 6.30 pm in mid-winter in the big southern cities. The maximum solar power is generated at noon in mid-summer in clear northern deserts. If the nightly solar curfew is to be covered by solar power alone, this necessitates a vast area of collectors to provide grid power as well as charge a storage backup during the day and run it down at night. The scattered solar collectors also need a huge new transmission network. Such a system is inefficient and very costly.

More likely, however, is that the solar farms will be backed up by gas or coal power stations running on idle and wasting fuel and capital until they are needed to supply power during the nightly solar blackouts.

Solar energy has useful applications, but supplying the power grid is NOT one of them. Solar power can never supply the reliable low cost electricity needed for Australian cities and industries. In that application, it can only exist as a subsidised and troublesome appendage propped up by serious power sources such as coal, gas, nuclear or hydro.

For a detailed look at Solar Power Realities, with actual performance figures see this. And some home solar economics here.

Sunspot numbers for June 2009 July 5, 2009

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Sunspot numbers for June 2009

Source

Month 2008 2009
Jan 3.3 1.5
Feb 2.1 1.4
Mar 9.3 0.7
Apr 2.9 1.2
May 3.2 2.9
Jun 3.4 2.6
Jul 0.8
Aug 0.5
Sep 1.1
Oct 2.9
Nov 4.1
Dec 0.8

Breaking: Another moonwalker is a climate realist July 4, 2009

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Breaking: Another moonwalker is a climate realist

Via Tom Nelson, July 3, 2009

Buzz Aldrin [the second person to walk on the moon] calls for manned flight to Mars to overcome global problems – Telegraph

But while trying to spread the word about the possibilities of space, Dr Aldrin said he was sceptical of climate change theories.

“I think the climate has been changing for billions of years,” he said.

If it’s warming now, it may cool off later. I’m not in favour of just taking short-term isolated situations and depleting our resources to keep our climate just the way it is today.

I’m not necessarily of the school that we are causing it all, I think the world is causing it.”

Feb ’09: Former astronaut speaks out on global warming – BostonHerald.com

SANTA FE, N.M. – Former astronaut Harrison Schmitt, who walked on the moon and once served New Mexico in the U.S. Senate, doesn’t believe that humans are causing global warming.

“I don’t think the human effect is significant compared to the natural effect,” said Schmitt, who is among 70 skeptics scheduled to speak next month at the International Conference on Climate Change in New York.

Inconvenient quotes by Al Gore

Former Vice President Gore has claimed that scientists skeptical of climate change are akin to “flat Earth society members” and similar in number to those who “believe the moon landing was actually staged in a movie lot in Arizona.” (LINK) & (LINK)

Warming millions good, sceptics’ thousands bad July 3, 2009

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Warming millions good, sceptics’ thousands bad

Andrew Bolt
Herald Sun, July 04, 2009

The ABC’s Emma Alberici yesterday tried to smear Senator Steve Fielding as the dupe of corrupt scientists, paid by Big Oil to deny global warming.

ALBERICI: Bob Ward (above) – a policy director at the London School of Economics – first wrote to ExxonMobil in 2006. He was concerned about the financial support the company provided to climate change deniers

WARD: They have stopped funding for a number of the groups that have been denying climate change but they haven’t stopped funding them all. Yet they have been telling people that they have stopped all that funding. So I think they should either own up that they are continuing funding for some of these groups or they should keep their promise.

ALBERICI: How many groups and what are the kinds of figures we are talking about as far as sums of money?

WARD: Several hundred thousand dollars a year… These organisations are not informing public debate on climate change, they are trying to mislead people…

Already a couple of things scream out from this report. First, if Fielding’s facts are wrong, then why not simply show why, rather than smear? But if they are right, then what does it matter if Big Oil helped to fund some of the groups publicising the science? All I see here are red herrings.

Second, why does Alberici – who is better than this – stoop to use the term “denier”, which is not only false but a deliberate and disgraceful attempt to align sceptical scientists and politicians with Holocaust deniers?

But here is the most astonishing thing about Alberici’s report. Not only is the money ExxonMobil gives an insigificant fraction of the billions handed out to global warming scientists and spruikers, but it’s also a fraction of the money that Ward’s own Grantham Research Institute on Climate Change at the LSE got from a global warming evangelist to preach the doomsday gospel:

Jeremy Grantham has given British universities £24m in a bid to save the planet… The British financier, who founded the Boston-based investment fund GMO, which has £55 billion under its management, gave the money to the London School of Economics (LSE) to fund an institute for researching the economics of climate change. A similar amount went to Imperial College London to study climate science.

Altogether, the £24m is one of the largest donations ever made to climate research… So why did Yorkshire-born Grantham do it?

“Because climate change is turning into the biggest problem humanity has ever faced. I wanted to invest my money in places where it might actually help tackle that problem,” said the financier last week…

Which makes Ward a monumental hypocrite.He complains that a few hundred thousand dollars from Big Oil corrupts debate, but says nothing about the more than $20 million his own university gets from Big Warming.

Why did Alberici not mention this?

So here’s the deal for the ABC. Debate the science, but if you must claim that the funding corrupts, at least admit which side gets the most of it.

Scientists call for Royal Commission into Climate Change Science July 3, 2009

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Scientists call for Royal Commission into Climate Change Science

Via Jo Nova, July 3, 2009

Released today. Four independent scientists respond in detail to the evidence that government scientists claim shows that carbon dioxide causes significant global warming. The real debate continues. After the return fire from the skeptical experts, there was not a single point left standing. ..


“Our conclusions are:

  1. that whilst recent increases in greenhouse gases play a minor radiative role in global climate, no strong evidence exists that human carbon dioxide emissions are causing, or are likely to cause, dangerous global warming;
  2. that it is unwise for government environmental policy to be set based upon monopoly advice, and especially so when what monopoly is represented by an international political (not scientific) agency; and
  3. that the results of implementing emissions trading legislation will be so costly, troublingly regressive, socially divisive and environmentally ineffective that Parliament should defer consideration of the CPRS bill and institute a fully independent Royal Commission of enquiry into the evidence for and against a dangerous human influence on climate.
  4. We add, with respect to point 3 that the scientific community is now so polarized on the controversial issue of dangerous global warming that proper due diligence on the matter can only be achieved where competent scientific witnesses are cross-examined under oath and under strict rules of evidence.”

This is the question of the day: who audits the IPCC?

Can we rely on the peer review process by anonymous unpaid ‘peers’, who are often colleagues on Team-AGW, and who share the same financial incentives as the authors to find that carbon dioxide is the culprit? Can we expect a system that heavily funds scientists to ‘find a link’ between two factors to quickly and efficiently come to a counter conclusion if there is only an insignificant link?

Fossil fuels give human civilization around 85% of all our energy. We have depended on carbon based fuels almost exclusively since someone rubbed two sticks together, even before Homo Sapien became ’sapien’. If fossil fuel emissions causes major environmental problems, yes, of course, we must act, with major force and substantial effort. But to undertake such a massive shift at such major cost based only on the opinion of an unaccountable, unaudited international committee would be negligent.

The Rudd Government must find a way to assess the science. Is a Royal Commission the answer? Is there a better way to independently cross check the analysis, and get a second opinion? What steps can we take to ensure that we actively foster competition between scientific theories?

A patient would ‘get a second opinion’, the Australian Reserve Bank would do it’s own economic analysis before it recommended a major change, so why would our government adopt UN-IPCC dictates without question?

Read the rest here

Tim Flannery wants us to save the planet by drinking warm beer? July 2, 2009

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Tim Flannery wants us to save the planet by drinking warm beer?

Via Adelaide Now, July 3, 2009

Higher energy costs necessary, says Professor Flannery

Professor Flannery is pushing for the Federal Government’s delayed Carbon Pollution Reduction Scheme legislation to be passed urgently to get Australia on track to tackle climate change.

He is urging households to be more energy efficient to offset the higher bills – tipped to rise by more than 20 per cent when the scheme is introduced in 2011.

….

“That’s the reality for charging people for their pollution.

“If you want an air-conditioner  . . . someone has to build a huge gas-fired power plant to run three weeks a year and it is a very expensive operation.

“If people are truly worried, say if dad has a beer fridge, unplug that and people will be better off.

Read it all here

Hmm, wouldn’t a cold beer and air-conditioning be beneficial in cooling us down during all that catastrophic global warming?

Save the planet, drink warm beer!

Save the planet, drink warm beer!

Batman’s a Scientist July 2, 2009

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Batman’s a Scientist

By Chris Horner
Planet Gore, July 1, 2009

Anyone with even a casual acquaintance with the global-warming industry knows that this crowd’s first response to any challenge, of any sort, from any source, is to go ad hominem. When the climate facts are not helpful, ad hom is their way to change the subject. They know what they need to know — that climate legislation is the instrument at hand for long-desired “social change,” and whatever means that are necessary will be employed. To these people, facts and logic are for losers —and often enough, ad hominem is used to conceal the ideologues’ staggering ignorance on the issues (ignorance of the sort that President Obama revealed with his recent claim that carbon dioxide “contaminate[s] the water we drink and pollute[s] the air we breathe” — he said, opening a Perrier and exhaling a sigh).

So when the EPA got caught suppressing the sole substantive report submitted as part of its “internal deliberation” over whether and how to seize the energy sector of the U.S. economy, you knew ad hominem was sure to follow. In the Washington Times story about the suppressed report, we read that a spokeswoman for EPA administrator Lisa P. Jackson — who made the determination that CO2 threatens the world — “noted that the memo’s author, Alan Carlin, is an economist, not a climate scientist.” Funny how people tasked with certain jobs become unqualified only when they are inconvenient.

Carlin is, indeed, a Ph.D. economist from MIT, a degree he obtained after earning a degree in physics from Cal Tech — both of which probably explain why he holds the job of reviewing such proposals. But this reflexive ad hom raises several obvious questions, none more obvious than: What makes Lisa P. Jackson a climate scientist? (She’s a chemical engineer.)

For that matter, who the hell are Barack Obama, Henry Waxman, Ed Markey, Nancy Pelosi, Carol Browner, Al Gore . . . need I continue? They all apparently are perfectly suited to reach informed judgment on the issue. Waxman is a scientist (bachelor’s in political science, UCLA ‘61) like Batman’s a scientist. Freeman Dyson, meanwhile, is “just a physicist.” Clearly, our governmental solons are qualified because they agree that this issue must be ridden to achieve the desired “change.”

Read the rest here

Sunspot Minimum Moves to At Least December; June in Northeast like 2008 in UK July 2, 2009

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Sunspot Minimum Moves to At Least December; June in Northeast like 2008 in UK

By Joseph D’Aleo
ICECAP

Despite an active start to the month and a rather steady stream of cycle 24 microdots, the official sunspot number for June came in at 2.6 below the 3.5 needed to make November 2008 the solar minimum. This means it can’t be earlier than December, 2008. It seems unlikely unless the sun goes back into a deep slumber as it did last summer and July stays at or below 0.5 (the value of the month it will replace in the 13 month average), December 2008 won’t be the sunspot minimum with a 13 month mean of 1.7. Only three minima since 1750 had official minima below 1.7 (1913 1.5, 1810 0, 1823 0.1). Of course modern measurement technologies are better than older technologies so there is some uncertainty as to whether microdots back then would have been seen.

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This chart maintained daily by Jan Alverstad at Solar Terrestrial Activity Report shows the increased solar spikiness in sunspot numbers in May and June but surprisingly a very low solar flux and a still rather low planetary A index number (geomagnetic activity). The sun is farthest from the earth in June/July which means the flux is lower, but official values are adjusted to account for that.

The Total Solar Irradiance as measure by SORCE (Solar Radiation and Climate Experiment) was also interesting the last two months showing two spikes but then a recent return to minimum levels.

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JUNE 2008 IN THE UNITED STATES

The first half of the month was extremely cold and even snowy in south Central Canada and the northern United States. In snowed in North Dakota and in California in early June. It was also unusually cold in the southwest – well below the normal (often 10-20 degrees) in places like Palm Springs, CA. In general, the desert southwest was unusually mild. Phoenix had 15 straight days with highs below 100F, the first time in June since 1913.

June, especially the second half was very hot in the southern plains and the heat expanded north and east a bit after mid-month before being suppressed again by months end.

In the northeast, the month was unusually cold, cloudy and wet. In Boston it was 4.7F below normal in a tie for 6th coldest June (with 1982) in 138 years of record keeping, all the other years were before 1916. It was just short of two standard deviations colder then normal. The NWS spot checked the average maximum temp at Boston for the month and it appears this is the second coldest average high temp since 1872. 1903 is the record. A trace or more of rain fell on 22 days of the month. Measurable (0.01 inches or more) occurred on 16 days just short of the record of 18 set in 1942.

At Blue Hill Observatory in Milton, MA, just southwest of Boston, the month of June had between 26 and 27% of the possible bright sunshine. Normal for June is 55% and the gloomiest June in 1903 had just 25% of the possible sunshine. Second place had been June, 1998, with 36%. So, this month has taken over 2nd place, not an enviable distinction for vacationers.

New York City’s Central Park was also cool, cloudy and wet. The month averaged 3.7F below normal and tied with 1897 as the 8th coldest since 1869 (151 years). It rained in 23 days of the month and ended up as the second wettest June ever falling short of 1927. Recall Joe Romm of Climate Progress had blamed the rains at the US Open on global warming and chuckled the heat waves would make the climate debate in DC all that much more exciting.

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See larger image here.
See pdf
here.

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